Inowroclaw vs Starogard Gdanski Prediction & Odds

1 Liga Sunday, October 11, 2026Sun, Oct 11 Start12:00ET Round 4

InowroclawHome · 4-3 · 7th · 1.75

8522242019

Starogard GdanskiAway · 1-6 · 15th · 1.93

8027181124

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Inowroclaw 22 24 20 19

Starogard Gdanski 27 18 11 24

FT Hala Widowiskowo-Sportowa Inowroc · PolandHala Widowiskowo-Sportowa Inowroc · Round 4

Best tip of the game

Total points Won

U170.5 1.44 59%

Under 170.5 points edge +1.9%

Best tip of the game Total points · Won U170.5 1.44 Under 170.5 points Confidence59% model 64.7% · market 62.8% edge +1.9%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 56%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 1.93 50.3% 47.4% +2.9% 51% Lost

Total points U170.5 1.44 64.7% 62.8% +1.9% 59% Won

Point spread STA +1.5 1.83 54.0% 50.4% +3.6% 58% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Inowroclaw8582

Starogard Gdanski8082

Total 164 actual 165

Winning margin — actual INO by 5

Chance to win INO 50% INO won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Inowroclaw8582

Starogard Gdanski8082

Total 164 Win INO 50% Actual 165 · INO won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 19+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Inowroclaw large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Starogard Gdanski

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Inowroclaw vs Starogard Gdanski

Inowroclaw Starogard Gdanski

Last 6 games each with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Inowroclaw 2-3

Oct 4: Polonia Warszawa 90, Inowroclaw 87. Lost. Odds: Polonia Warszawa 1.67, Inowroclaw 2.02.
Sep 26: Inowroclaw 75, R. Rzeszow 62. Won. Odds: Inowroclaw 1.45, R. Rzeszow 2.50.
Sep 18: WKK Wroclaw 66, Inowroclaw 80. Won. Odds: WKK Wroclaw 2.85, Inowroclaw 1.35.
Apr 15: Spojnia Stargard 81, Inowroclaw 67. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 8: WKK Wroclaw 79, Inowroclaw 68. Lost. No odds on record.

Starogard Gdanski 2-3

Oct 3: Starogard Gdanski 102, Kotwica Kolobrzeg 89. Won. Odds: Starogard Gdanski 2.12, Kotwica Kolobrzeg 1.62.
Sep 30: Starogard Gdanski 83, LKS Lodz 101. Lost. Odds: Starogard Gdanski 3.25, LKS Lodz 1.28.
Sep 26: Lancut 90, Starogard Gdanski 76. Lost. Odds: Lancut 1.60, Starogard Gdanski 2.15.
May 23: Spojnia Stargard 78, Starogard Gdanski 79. Won. No odds on record.
May 16: Starogard Gdanski 94, Spojnia Stargard 102. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
INO moneyline	1.74	moved up 1.75
STA moneyline	1.95	moved down 1.93
Total points	164.5	164.5
INO spread	−1.5	−1.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

1 Liga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Leszno	7	7	0	14	636	514	+122
2	Spojnia Stargard	7	6	1	13	649	600	+49
3	LKS Lodz	7	5	2	12	616	548	+68
4	Poznan	7	5	2	12	639	597	+42
5	Polonia Warszawa	7	5	2	12	634	639	−5
6	WKK Wroclaw	7	4	3	11	582	569	+13
7	Inowroclaw	7	4	3	11	558	551	+7
8	Pelplin	7	4	3	11	636	642	−6
9	GKS Tychy	7	3	4	10	539	557	−18
10	Lancut	7	3	4	10	602	593	+9
11	Kotwica Kolobrzeg	7	3	4	10	629	639	−10
12	Bytom	7	2	5	9	570	603	−33
13	Krosno	7	2	5	9	597	610	−13
14	R. Rzeszow	7	1	6	8	537	623	−86
15	Starogard Gdanski	7	1	6	8	591	642	−51
16	Poli. Opolska	7	1	6	8	571	659	−88

Playoffs
Relegation

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Inowroclaw host Starogard Gdanski in the 1 Liga on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.