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Indiana Pacers vs Minnesota Timberwolves prediction

NBA Wednesday, October 7, 2026Wed, Oct 7 Start19:00ET
Indiana PacersHome · 2-5 · 12th · Moneyline odds down 2.06
1231st quarter 322nd quarter 293rd quarter 384th quarter 24
Minnesota TimberwolvesAway · 4-3 · 9th · Moneyline odds up 1.71
1121st quarter 272nd quarter 383rd quarter 264th quarter 21
By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Indiana Pacers 32 29 38 24
Minnesota Timberwolves 27 38 26 21
FT Gainbridge Fieldhouse · USAGainbridge Fieldhouse
Best tip of the game
Moneyline Won
1 odds down 2.06 51% confidence
Indiana Pacers to win edge −2.7%
Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 odds down 2.06 Indiana Pacers to win Confidence51% model 43.4% · market 46.1% edge −2.7%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 64%
Picks for this game
Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result
Moneyline 1 odds down 2.06 43.4% 46.1% −2.7% 51% Won
Total points U235.5 2.05 62.8% 50.0% +12.8% 74% Won
Point spread IND +2.5 odds down 1.88 59.0% 50.3% +8.7% 68% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.

Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Indiana Pacers123115
Minnesota Timberwolves112114
Total 229 actual 235
Winning margin IND by 1 actual IND by 11
Chance to win IND 53% IND won
Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Indiana Pacers123115
Minnesota Timberwolves112114

Total 229 Margin IND by 1 Win IND 53% Actual 235 · IND won

Indiana Pacers host Minnesota Timberwolves in the NBA on Wednesday, October 7, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.