Indiana Pacers vs Minnesota Timberwolves prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 229 Margin IND by 1 Win IND 53% Actual 235 · IND won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Indiana Pacers vs Minnesota Timberwolves
Last 7 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Indiana Pacers 1, Minnesota Timberwolves 2.
- Average total 240.3 points per meeting
- Over 237.5 1 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting MIN by 20 Apr 7, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 7, 2026 NBA Indiana Pacers 104–124 Minnesota Timberwolves 228 pts
- Oct 26, 2025 NBA Minnesota Timberwolves 114–110 Indiana Pacers 224 pts
- Oct 7, 2025 NBA Minnesota Timberwolves 134–135 OT Indiana Pacers 269 pts · OT
Last five games
- Apr 12: Indiana Pacers 121, Detroit Pistons 133. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 10: Indiana Pacers 94, Philadelphia 76ers 105. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 9: Brooklyn Nets 94, Indiana Pacers 123. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 7: Indiana Pacers 104, Minnesota Timberwolves 124. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 5: Cleveland Cavaliers 117, Indiana Pacers 108. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 5: Milwaukee Bucks 97, Minnesota Timberwolves 116. Won. Odds: Milwaukee Bucks 2.65, Minnesota Timberwolves 1.50.
- May 15: Minnesota Timberwolves 109, San Antonio Spurs 139. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 12: San Antonio Spurs 126, Minnesota Timberwolves 97. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 10: Minnesota Timberwolves 114, San Antonio Spurs 109. Won. No odds on record.
- May 8: Minnesota Timberwolves 108, San Antonio Spurs 115. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 1-4 at home for Indiana Pacers this season.
- Over/under moved up from 235.5 to 237.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 14.6 — Indiana Pacers −4.4 per 100 possessions, Minnesota Timberwolves +10.2.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Minnesota Timberwolves.
- 1-4 in the last five for Indiana Pacers.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| IND moneyline | 2.10 | moved down 2.06 |
| MIN moneyline | 1.70 | moved up 1.71 |
| Total points | 235.5 | moved up 237.5 |
| IND spread | +2.5 | +2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 507 | 432 | +75 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 613 | 586 | +27 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 497 | 464 | +33 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 495 | 468 | +27 | |
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 474 | 452 | +22 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 610 | 574 | +36 | |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 640 | 612 | +28 | |
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 453 | 455 | −2 | |
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 612 | 584 | +28 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 547 | 599 | −52 | |
| 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 348 | 361 | −13 | |
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 479 | 473 | +6 | |
| 13 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 454 | 480 | −26 | |
| 14 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 386 | 444 | −58 | |
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 530 | 621 | −91 |
Pre-season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 470 | 443 | +27 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 453 | 439 | +14 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 442 | 441 | +1 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 683 | 638 | +45 | |
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 366 | 338 | +28 | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 351 | 344 | +7 | |
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 332 | 325 | +7 | |
| 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 578 | 571 | +7 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 697 | 709 | −12 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 572 | 544 | +28 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 534 | 559 | −25 | |
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 457 | 486 | −29 | |
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 545 | 573 | −28 | |
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 549 | 585 | −36 | |
| 15 | 5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 514 | 588 | −74 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Indiana Pacers host Minnesota Timberwolves in the NBA on Wednesday, October 7, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.