Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Odds

NBA Friday, October 23, 2026Fri, Oct 23 Start19:00ET

Indiana PacersHome · 2-5 · 12th · 1.38

10527163329

Dallas MavericksAway · 4-2 · 12th · 3.15

12144332123

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Indiana Pacers 27 16 33 29

Dallas Mavericks 44 33 21 23

FT Gainbridge Fieldhouse · USAGainbridge Fieldhouse

Best tip of the game

Total points Won

O221.5 1.13 85%

Over 221.5 points edge +4.9%

Best tip of the game Total points · Won O221.5 1.13 Over 221.5 points Confidence85% model 78.9% · market 74.0% edge +4.9%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 77%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.38 56.5% 65.9% −9.4% 63% Lost

Total points O221.5 1.13 78.9% 74.0% +4.9% 85% Won

Point spread DAL +14.5 1.34 67.1% 73.2% −6.1% 84% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Indiana Pacers105120

Dallas Mavericks121118

Total 238 actual 226

Winning margin IND by 2 actual DAL by 16

Chance to win IND 56% DAL won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Indiana Pacers105120

Dallas Mavericks121118

Total 238 Margin IND by 2 Win IND 56% Actual 226 · DAL won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 19+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Indiana Pacers large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Dallas Mavericks

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks

Indiana Pacers Dallas Mavericks

Last 7 and 6 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Indiana Pacers 2-3

Oct 21: New Orleans Pelicans 120, Indiana Pacers 123. Won. Odds: New Orleans Pelicans 2.20, Indiana Pacers 1.57.
Oct 16: Indiana Pacers 127, Milwaukee Bucks 128. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Indiana Pacers 1.26, Milwaukee Bucks 3.05.
Oct 13: Oklahoma City Thunder 114, Indiana Pacers 112. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Oklahoma City Thunder 1.40, Indiana Pacers 2.80.
Oct 10: Indiana Pacers 117, Atlanta Hawks 119. Lost. Odds: Indiana Pacers 1.77, Atlanta Hawks 1.93.
Oct 7: Indiana Pacers 123, Minnesota Timberwolves 112. Won. Odds: Indiana Pacers 2.06, Minnesota Timberwolves 1.71.

Dallas Mavericks 1-4

Oct 21: Houston Rockets 128, Dallas Mavericks 110. Lost. Odds: Houston Rockets 1.23, Dallas Mavericks 4.40.
Oct 16: Dallas Mavericks 111, Atlanta Hawks 135. Lost. Odds: Dallas Mavericks 1.81, Atlanta Hawks 1.89.
Oct 14: Dallas Mavericks 97, New Orleans Pelicans 101. Lost. Odds: Dallas Mavericks 2.32, New Orleans Pelicans 1.56.
Oct 11: Houston Rockets 115, Dallas Mavericks 132. Won. Odds: Houston Rockets 1.77, Dallas Mavericks 1.93.
Oct 9: Dallas Mavericks 117, Houston Rockets 135. Lost. Odds: Dallas Mavericks 2.13, Houston Rockets 1.63.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
IND moneyline	1.45	moved down 1.38
DAL moneyline	2.60	moved up 3.15
Total points	234.5	moved up 240.5
IND spread	−5.5	moved down −7.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

NBA standings

Pre-season · Eastern Conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Boston Celtics	4	4	0	1.000	507	432	+75
2	Atlanta Hawks	5	4	1	.800	613	586	+27
3	Brooklyn Nets	4	3	1	.750	497	464	+33
4	Orlando Magic	4	3	1	.750	495	468	+27
5	Detroit Pistons	4	3	1	.750	474	452	+22
6	Chicago Bulls	5	3	2	.600	610	574	+36
7	Miami Heat	5	3	2	.600	640	612	+28
8	Washington Wizards	4	2	2	.500	453	455	−2
9	Toronto Raptors	5	2	3	.400	612	584	+28
10	Milwaukee Bucks	5	2	3	.400	547	599	−52
11	Cleveland Cavaliers	3	1	2	.333	348	361	−13
12	Indiana Pacers	4	1	3	.250	479	473	+6
13	Philadelphia 76ers	4	1	3	.250	454	480	−26
14	Charlotte Hornets	4	1	3	.250	386	444	−58
15	New York Knicks	5	1	4	.200	530	621	−91

Pre-season · Western Conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Memphis Grizzlies	4	3	1	.750	470	443	+27
2	Utah Jazz	4	3	1	.750	453	439	+14
3	New Orleans Pelicans	4	3	1	.750	442	441	+1
4	Golden State Warriors	6	4	2	.667	683	638	+45
5	Houston Rockets	3	2	1	.667	366	338	+28
6	Portland Trail Blazers	3	2	1	.667	351	344	+7
7	Los Angeles Clippers	3	2	1	.667	332	325	+7
8	Denver Nuggets	5	3	2	.600	578	571	+7
9	Minnesota Timberwolves	6	3	3	.500	697	709	−12
10	San Antonio Spurs	5	2	3	.400	572	544	+28
11	Los Angeles Lakers	5	2	3	.400	534	559	−25
12	Dallas Mavericks	4	1	3	.250	457	486	−29
13	Phoenix Suns	5	1	4	.200	545	573	−28
14	Oklahoma City Thunder	5	1	4	.200	549	585	−36
15	Sacramento Kings	5	0	5	.000	514	588	−74

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Indiana Pacers host Dallas Mavericks in the NBA on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.