Indiana Fever vs Washington Mystics prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 188 Margin WAS by 10 Win WAS 77% Actual 170 · WAS won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Indiana Fever vs Washington Mystics
Last 30 games each with full stats · all competitions
Indiana Fever at home, last 24 games · Washington Mystics away, last 24
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Indiana Fever 3, Washington Mystics 2.
- Average total 170.4 points per meeting
- Over 178.5 1 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting IND by 2 Jun 8, 2026
Meetings
- Jun 8, 2026 WNBA Washington Mystics 76–78 Indiana Fever 154 pts
- May 15, 2026 WNBA Indiana Fever 102–104 OT Washington Mystics 206 pts · OT
- Sep 7, 2025 WNBA Washington Mystics 65–94 Indiana Fever 159 pts
- Aug 15, 2025 WNBA Indiana Fever 84–88 Washington Mystics 172 pts
- Jun 3, 2025 WNBA Indiana Fever 85–76 Washington Mystics 161 pts
Last five games
- Sep 18: Toronto Tempo 85, Indiana Fever 103. Won. Odds: Toronto Tempo 6.44, Indiana Fever 1.10.
- Aug 28: Indiana Fever 111, Connecticut Sun 91. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 23: Chicago Sky 90, Indiana Fever 113. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 22: New York Liberty 109, Indiana Fever 102. Lost. No odds on record.
- Aug 20: Dallas Wings 91, Indiana Fever 85. Lost. No odds on record.
- Sep 17: Chicago Sky 80, Washington Mystics 110. Won. Odds: Chicago Sky 2.01, Washington Mystics 1.77.
- Aug 28: Los Angeles Sparks 88, Washington Mystics 82. Lost. No odds on record.
- Aug 27: Phoenix Mercury 73, Washington Mystics 80. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 25: Phoenix Mercury 84, Washington Mystics 94. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 23: Portland Fire 100, Washington Mystics 105. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Indiana Fever, who played yesterday.
- 3-game winning streak for Indiana Fever coming into this game.
- Over/under moved up from 176.5 to 178.5 since it was first published.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Indiana Fever.
- 4-1 in the last five for Washington Mystics.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| IND moneyline | 1.44 | moved down 1.37 |
| WAS moneyline | 2.65 | moved up 3.00 |
| Total points | 176.5 | moved up 178.5 |
| IND spread | −6.5 | −6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
WNBA standings
Regular Season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 44 | 30 | 14 | .682 | 4019 | 3717 | +302 | |
| 2 | 44 | 28 | 16 | .636 | 3696 | 3640 | +56 | |
| 3 | 44 | 28 | 16 | .636 | 4222 | 3979 | +243 | |
| 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | .591 | 3941 | 3802 | +139 | |
| 5 | 44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3818 | 3989 | −171 | |
| 6 | 44 | 11 | 33 | .250 | 3470 | 3875 | −405 | |
| 7 | 44 | 11 | 33 | .250 | 3770 | 4152 | −382 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Indiana Fever host Washington Mystics in the WNBA on Sunday, September 20, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.