Indiana Fever vs Minnesota Lynx prediction
Indiana Fever
31
26
14
25
Minnesota Lynx
16
18
30
13
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Indiana Fever9695Minnesota Lynx7792Indiana Fever9695Minnesota Lynx7792Total 187 Margin IND by 3 Win IND 60% Actual 173 · IND won
Indiana Fever
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Minnesota Lynx
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Indiana Fever vs Minnesota Lynx
Indiana Fever
Minnesota Lynx
Last 30 games each with full stats · all competitions
Indiana Fever at home, last 24 games · Minnesota Lynx away, last 23
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Indiana Fever 1, Minnesota Lynx 4.
- Average total 176.2 points per meeting
- Over 186.5 1 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting MIN by 20 Sep 24, 2026
Meetings
- Sep 24, 2026 WNBA Minnesota Lynx 86–66 Indiana Fever 152 pts
- Aug 2, 2026 WNBA Minnesota Lynx 108–100 Indiana Fever 208 pts
- Sep 9, 2025 WNBA Indiana Fever 83–72 Minnesota Lynx 155 pts
- Aug 24, 2025 WNBA Minnesota Lynx 97–84 Indiana Fever 181 pts
- Aug 22, 2025 WNBA Indiana Fever 90–95 Minnesota Lynx 185 pts
Last five games
Indiana Fever
3-2 - Sep 20: Indiana Fever 77, Washington Mystics 93. Lost. Odds: Indiana Fever 1.37, Washington Mystics 3.00.
- Sep 18: Toronto Tempo 85, Indiana Fever 103. Won. Odds: Toronto Tempo 6.44, Indiana Fever 1.10.
- Aug 28: Indiana Fever 111, Connecticut Sun 91. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 23: Chicago Sky 90, Indiana Fever 113. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 22: New York Liberty 109, Indiana Fever 102. Lost. No odds on record.
Minnesota Lynx
2-3 - Sep 20: Connecticut Sun 89, Minnesota Lynx 101. Won. Odds: Connecticut Sun 7.98, Minnesota Lynx 1.06.
- Sep 18: Minnesota Lynx 81, New York Liberty 93. Lost. Odds: Minnesota Lynx 1.41, New York Liberty 2.83.
- Aug 30: Atlanta Dream 89, Minnesota Lynx 81. Lost. No odds on record.
- Aug 24: Minnesota Lynx 66, Golden State Valkyries 80. Lost. No odds on record.
- Aug 21: Washington Mystics 84, Minnesota Lynx 94. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Indiana Fever dropped from 2.05 to 1.65 since they were first published.
- 19-5 away for Minnesota Lynx this season.
- Over/under moved down from 188.5 to 186.5 since it was first published.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Minnesota Lynx.
- 176.2 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 186.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| IND moneyline | 2.05 | moved down 1.65 |
| MIN moneyline | 1.78 | moved up 2.20 |
| Total points | 188.5 | moved down 186.5 |
| IND spread | +1.5 | moved down −3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
WNBA standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Lynx |
44 | 33 | 11 | .750 | 3997 | 3681 | +316 |
| 2 |  Golden State Valkyries |
44 | 32 | 12 | .727 | 3615 | 3306 | +309 |
| 3 |  Las Vegas Aces |
44 | 31 | 13 | .705 | 4025 | 3776 | +249 |
| 4 |  Atlanta Dream |
44 | 30 | 14 | .682 | 4019 | 3717 | +302 |
| 5 |  Washington Mystics |
44 | 28 | 16 | .636 | 3696 | 3640 | +56 |
| 6 | Indiana Fever |
44 | 28 | 16 | .636 | 4222 | 3979 | +243 |
| 7 |  Dallas Wings |
44 | 27 | 17 | .614 | 3933 | 3751 | +182 |
| 8 |  New York Liberty |
44 | 26 | 18 | .591 | 3941 | 3802 | +139 |
| 9 |  Portland Fire |
44 | 17 | 27 | .386 | 3794 | 4005 | −211 |
| 10 |  Chicago Sky |
44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3818 | 3989 | −171 |
| 11 |  Los Angeles Sparks |
44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3830 | 4018 | −188 |
| 12 |  Phoenix Mercury |
44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3712 | 3854 | −142 |
| 13 |  Connecticut Sun |
44 | 11 | 33 | .250 | 3470 | 3875 | −405 |
| 14 |  Toronto Tempo |
44 | 11 | 33 | .250 | 3770 | 4152 | −382 |
| 15 |  Seattle Storm |
44 | 8 | 36 | .182 | 3616 | 3913 | −297 |
- Playoffs
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Indiana Fever host Minnesota Lynx in the WNBA on Tuesday, September 22, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.