Independiente de Oliva vs Ferro Prediction & Odds — Oct 8

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Liga A Thursday, October 8, 2026Thu, Oct 8 Start20:30ET

Independiente de OlivaHome · 1-1 · 10th · 1.76

9228232318

FerroAway · 2-4 · 13th · 1.94

9733142723

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Independiente de Oliva 28 23 23 18

Ferro 33 14 27 23

FT Polideportivo Independiente DSC · ArgentinaPolideportivo Independiente DSC

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Lost

1 1.83 65%

Independiente de Oliva to win edge +22.3%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Lost 1 1.83 Independiente de Oliva to win Confidence65% model 69.6% · market 47.3% edge +22.3%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 68%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.83 69.6% 47.3% +22.3% 65% Lost

Total points O158.5 1.57 65.0% 50.0% +15.0% 71% Won

Point spread IDO +1.5 1.67 72.5% 51.0% +21.5% 68% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Independiente de Oliva9288

Ferro9777

Total 165 actual 189

Winning margin IDO by 11 actual FER by 5

Chance to win IDO 80% FER won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Independiente de Oliva9288

Ferro9777

Total 165 Margin IDO by 11 Win IDO 80% Actual 189 · FER won

Last five games

Independiente de Oliva 2-3

May 18: Gimnasia 81, Independiente de Oliva 71. Lost. No odds on record.
May 15: Independiente de Oliva 74, Gimnasia 66. Won. No odds on record.
May 13: Independiente de Oliva 78, Gimnasia 76. Won. No odds on record.
May 10: Gimnasia 77, Independiente de Oliva 72. Lost. No odds on record.
May 8: Gimnasia 78, Independiente de Oliva 66. Lost. No odds on record.

Ferro 2-3

Sep 30: Argentino 79, Ferro 68. Lost. Odds: Argentino 3.10, Ferro 1.30.
Jun 2: Gimnasia 88, Ferro 54. Lost. No odds on record.
May 30: Ferro 81, Gimnasia 73. Won. No odds on record.
May 28: Ferro 74, Gimnasia 70. Won. No odds on record.
May 25: Gimnasia 79, Ferro 74. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
IDO moneyline	1.95	moved down 1.76
FER moneyline	1.74	moved up 1.94
Total points	158.5	moved up 162.5
IDO spread	+1.5	moved down −1.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Liga A standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Quimsa	6	6	0	1.000	506	443	+63
2	Penarol	5	4	1	.800	406	373	+33
3	Atenas	5	4	1	.800	434	419	+15
4	Gimnasia	8	6	2	.750	610	583	+27
5	Olimpico	5	3	2	.600	443	419	+24
6	Argentino	5	3	2	.600	403	394	+9
7	Instituto de Cordoba	5	3	2	.600	373	371	+2
8	Boca Juniors	6	3	3	.500	529	510	+19
9	Platense	6	3	3	.500	482	482	0
10	Independiente de Oliva	2	1	1	.500	200	190	+10
11	Racing de Chivilcoy	7	3	4	.429	576	590	−14
12	Lanus	8	3	5	.375	606	632	−26
13	Ferro	6	2	4	.333	492	513	−21
14	La Union	3	1	2	.333	244	252	−8
15	Regatas	4	1	3	.250	299	313	−14
16	San Lorenzo	4	1	3	.250	305	323	−18
17	Obera TC	5	1	4	.200	367	406	−39
18	San Martin	6	0	6	.000	509	571	−62

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Play Out

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Independiente de Oliva host Ferro in the Liga A on Thursday, October 8, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.