Illiabum vs Academica Prediction & Odds

Proliga Saturday, October 3, 2026Sat, Oct 3 Start13:00ET Round 1

IlliabumHome · 2-3 · 10th · 1.03

8518212026

AcademicaAway · 0-5 · 14th · 8.25

7522162116

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Illiabum 18 21 20 26

Academica 22 16 21 16

FT Pavilhão Capitão Adriano Nordeste · PortugalPavilhão Capitão Adriano Nordeste · Round 1

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.03 89%

Illiabum to win edge −8.4%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.03 Illiabum to win Confidence89% model 80.6% · market 89.0% edge −8.4%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 69%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.03 80.6% 89.0% −8.4% 89% Won

Total points U142.5 1.84 61.9% 49.6% +12.3% 68% Lost

Point spread ACA +19.5 1.83 48.9% 50.3% −1.4% 51% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Illiabum8575

Academica7562

Total 137 actual 160

Winning margin ILL by 13 actual ILL by 10

Chance to win ILL 81% ILL won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Illiabum8575

Academica7562

Total 137 Margin ILL by 13 Win ILL 81% Actual 160 · ILL won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 20+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Illiabum large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Academica

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Illiabum vs Academica

Illiabum Academica

Last 30 games each with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Illiabum 2-3

May 16: CAB Madeira 76, Illiabum 60. Lost. No odds on record.
May 9: Illiabum 74, CAB Madeira 88. Lost. No odds on record.
May 1: Illiabum 76, Ginasio 69. Won. No odds on record.
Apr 25: Portimonense 63, Illiabum 59. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 19: Imortal B 40, Illiabum 77. Won. No odds on record.

Academica 0-5

May 2: Sampaense 85, Academica 81. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 26: Academica 79, Lusitania 85. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 19: Benfica Lisboa B 63, Academica 59. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 4: Academica 58, CB Queluz 76. Lost. No odds on record.
Mar 28: Academica 68, Sangalhos 76. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
ILL moneyline	1.05	moved down 1.03
ACA moneyline	8.50	moved down 8.25
Total points	142.5	142.5
ILL spread	−19.5	moved up −18.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Proliga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Sangalhos	5	4	1	9	393	307	+86
2	Galitos Aveiro	5	4	1	9	377	352	+25
3	Santo Andre	5	4	1	9	395	371	+24
4	Sampaense	5	3	2	8	438	408	+30
5	Lusitania	5	3	2	8	395	366	+29
6	CB Queluz	5	3	2	8	355	355	0
7	Galitos Barreiro	5	3	2	8	360	361	−1
8	Galomar	4	3	1	7	330	288	+42
9	Vasco Da Gama	5	2	3	7	414	430	−16
10	Illiabum	5	2	3	7	350	373	−23
11	Barreirense	5	2	3	7	393	419	−26
12	Maia	4	2	2	6	331	340	−9
13	Ginasio Olhanense	5	1	4	6	402	456	−54
14	Academica	5	0	5	5	396	430	−34
15	Barcelos	4	1	3	5	268	303	−35
16	Benfica Lisboa B	4	1	3	5	260	298	−38

LPB
Playoffs
Relegation

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Illiabum host Academica in the Proliga on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.