Illawarra Hawks vs Tasmania JackJumpers prediction
Illawarra Hawks
22
25
26
39
Tasmania JackJumpers
32
35
24
31
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 59%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Illawarra Hawks11291Tasmania JackJumpers12298Illawarra Hawks11291Tasmania JackJumpers12298Total 189 Margin TAS by 7 Win TAS 68% Actual 234 · TAS won
Illawarra Hawks
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Tasmania JackJumpers
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Illawarra Hawks vs Tasmania JackJumpers
Illawarra Hawks
Tasmania JackJumpers
Last 11 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions
Illawarra Hawks at home, last 5 games · Tasmania JackJumpers away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Illawarra Hawks 3, Tasmania JackJumpers 1.
- Average total 181.0 points per meeting
- Over 188.5 1 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ILL by 33 Feb 18, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 18, 2026 NBL Tasmania JackJumpers 70–103 Illawarra Hawks 173 pts
- Jan 24, 2026 NBL Tasmania JackJumpers 91–101 Illawarra Hawks 192 pts
- Dec 31, 2025 NBL Illawarra Hawks 92–90 Tasmania JackJumpers 182 pts
- Sep 27, 2025 NBL Illawarra Hawks 86–91 Tasmania JackJumpers 177 pts
Last five games
Illawarra Hawks
1-4 - Oct 4: South East Melbourne 113, Illawarra Hawks 96. Lost. Odds: South East Melbourne 1.60, Illawarra Hawks 2.27.
- Oct 2: Illawarra Hawks 114, Adelaide 92. Won. Odds: Illawarra Hawks 2.85, Adelaide 1.40.
- Sep 27: Sydney 121, Illawarra Hawks 100. Lost. Odds: Sydney 1.23, Illawarra Hawks 3.91.
- Sep 25: Brisbane Bullets 103, Illawarra Hawks 95. Lost. Odds: Brisbane Bullets 1.90, Illawarra Hawks 1.85.
- Sep 20: New Zealand Breakers 95, Illawarra Hawks 81. Lost. Odds: New Zealand Breakers 2.21, Illawarra Hawks 1.64.
Tasmania JackJumpers
3-2 - Oct 3: Brisbane Bullets 99, Tasmania JackJumpers 109. After overtime. Won. Odds: Brisbane Bullets 1.71, Tasmania JackJumpers 2.09.
- Oct 1: Tasmania JackJumpers 84, Melbourne United 82. Won. Odds: Tasmania JackJumpers 3.00, Melbourne United 1.36.
- Sep 23: Cairns Taipans 93, Tasmania JackJumpers 87. Lost. Odds: Cairns Taipans 1.76, Tasmania JackJumpers 2.04.
- Sep 21: Tasmania JackJumpers 96, South East Melbourne 91. Won. Odds: Tasmania JackJumpers 2.55, South East Melbourne 1.47.
- Mar 5: Melbourne United 82, Tasmania JackJumpers 68. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Illawarra Hawks dropped from 1.93 to 1.68 since they were first published.
- 1-4 at home for Illawarra Hawks this season.
- Net rating difference of 16.4 — Illawarra Hawks −10.0 per 100 possessions, Tasmania JackJumpers +6.4.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Illawarra Hawks.
- 1-4 in the last five for Illawarra Hawks.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ILL moneyline | 1.93 | moved down 1.68 |
| TAS moneyline | 1.78 | moved up 2.10 |
| Total points | 188.5 | 188.5 |
| ILL spread | +1.5 | moved down −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sydney |
10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 979 | 881 | +98 |
| 2 | Tasmania JackJumpers |
10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 956 | 908 | +48 |
| 3 |  Perth |
9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 839 | 870 | −31 |
| 4 |  Cairns Taipans |
11 | 6 | 5 | .545 | 1014 | 1062 | −48 |
| 5 |  Melbourne United |
10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 967 | 925 | +42 |
| 6 |  Brisbane Bullets |
10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 938 | 967 | −29 |
| 7 |  Adelaide |
11 | 5 | 6 | .455 | 1001 | 1031 | −30 |
| 8 |  South East Melbourne |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 969 | 943 | +26 |
| 9 |  New Zealand Breakers |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 922 | 906 | +16 |
| 10 | Illawarra Hawks |
11 | 3 | 8 | .273 | 1057 | 1149 | −92 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Illawarra Hawks host Tasmania JackJumpers in the NBL on Friday, October 9, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.