Illawarra Hawks vs Brisbane Bullets prediction
Illawarra Hawks
16
19
27
19
Brisbane Bullets
25
30
14
29
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 73%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Illawarra Hawks8199Brisbane Bullets98100Illawarra Hawks8199Brisbane Bullets98100Total 199 Margin BRI by 1 Win BRI 52% Actual 179 · BRI won
Illawarra Hawks
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Brisbane Bullets
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Illawarra Hawks vs Brisbane Bullets
Illawarra Hawks
Brisbane Bullets
Last 11 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions
Illawarra Hawks at home, last 5 games · Brisbane Bullets away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Illawarra Hawks 3, Brisbane Bullets 1.
- Average total 194.0 points per meeting
- Over 196.5 2 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting BRI by 8 Sep 25, 2026
Meetings
- Sep 25, 2026 NBL Brisbane Bullets 103–95 Illawarra Hawks 198 pts
- Jan 26, 2026 NBL Brisbane Bullets 75–113 Illawarra Hawks 188 pts
- Dec 11, 2025 NBL Illawarra Hawks 100–85 Brisbane Bullets 185 pts
- Oct 11, 2025 NBL Illawarra Hawks 116–89 Brisbane Bullets 205 pts
Last five games
Illawarra Hawks
1-4 - Oct 22: Illawarra Hawks 82, Sydney 108. Lost. Odds: Illawarra Hawks 3.10, Sydney 1.30.
- Oct 18: Melbourne United 89, Illawarra Hawks 91. Won. Odds: Melbourne United 1.15, Illawarra Hawks 4.90.
- Oct 11: Illawarra Hawks 100, Cairns Taipans 110. Lost. Odds: Illawarra Hawks 1.74, Cairns Taipans 2.05.
- Oct 9: Illawarra Hawks 112, Tasmania JackJumpers 122. Lost. Odds: Illawarra Hawks 1.68, Tasmania JackJumpers 2.10.
- Oct 4: South East Melbourne 113, Illawarra Hawks 96. Lost. Odds: South East Melbourne 1.60, Illawarra Hawks 2.27.
Brisbane Bullets
1-4 - Oct 21: Tasmania JackJumpers 106, Brisbane Bullets 85. Lost. Odds: Tasmania JackJumpers 1.20, Brisbane Bullets 3.80.
- Oct 15: Brisbane Bullets 115, South East Melbourne 105. Won. Odds: Brisbane Bullets 2.50, South East Melbourne 1.31.
- Oct 8: Cairns Taipans 97, Brisbane Bullets 91. Lost. Odds: Cairns Taipans 1.60, Brisbane Bullets 2.25.
- Oct 3: Brisbane Bullets 99, Tasmania JackJumpers 109. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Brisbane Bullets 1.71, Tasmania JackJumpers 2.09.
- Sep 30: Sydney 93, Brisbane Bullets 78. Lost. Odds: Sydney 1.36, Brisbane Bullets 3.03.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Brisbane Bullets dropped from 2.38 to 2.10 since they were first published.
- 1-4 at home for Illawarra Hawks this season.
- Over/under moved up from 193.5 to 196.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 6.5 — Illawarra Hawks −10.0 per 100 possessions, Brisbane Bullets −3.5.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Illawarra Hawks.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ILL moneyline | 1.53 | moved up 1.62 |
| BRI moneyline | 2.38 | moved down 2.10 |
| Total points | 193.5 | moved up 196.5 |
| ILL spread | −3.5 | moved down −4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sydney |
10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 979 | 881 | +98 |
| 2 |  Tasmania JackJumpers |
10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 956 | 908 | +48 |
| 3 |  Perth |
9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 839 | 870 | −31 |
| 4 |  Cairns Taipans |
11 | 6 | 5 | .545 | 1014 | 1062 | −48 |
| 5 |  Melbourne United |
10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 967 | 925 | +42 |
| 6 | Brisbane Bullets |
10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 938 | 967 | −29 |
| 7 |  Adelaide |
11 | 5 | 6 | .455 | 1001 | 1031 | −30 |
| 8 |  South East Melbourne |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 969 | 943 | +26 |
| 9 |  New Zealand Breakers |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 922 | 906 | +16 |
| 10 | Illawarra Hawks |
11 | 3 | 8 | .273 | 1057 | 1149 | −92 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Illawarra Hawks host Brisbane Bullets in the NBL on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.