Ilirija vs Maribor prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 58%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 128 Margin ILI by 4 Win ILI 62% Actual 127 · ILI won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Ilirija vs Maribor
Last 28 and 23 games with full stats · all competitions
Ilirija at home, last 14 games · Maribor away, last 12
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Ilirija 3, Maribor 1.
- Average total 134.3 points per meeting
- Over 120.5 3 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ILI by 9 Mar 3, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 3, 2026 1 SKL Women Ilirija 72–63 OT Maribor 135 pts · OT
- Feb 24, 2026 1 SKL Women Maribor 79–72 Ilirija 151 pts
- Jan 14, 2026 1 SKL Women Maribor 53–58 Ilirija 111 pts
- Dec 6, 2025 1 SKL Women Ilirija 75–65 Maribor 140 pts
Last five games
- Oct 14: Domel Skofja Loka 57, Ilirija 87. Won. Odds: Domel Skofja Loka 6.30, Ilirija 1.07.
- Oct 10: Ilirija 61, Triglav 73. Lost. Odds: Ilirija 1.62, Triglav 2.10.
- Oct 3: Cinkarna Celje 72, Ilirija 50. Lost. Odds: Cinkarna Celje 1.03, Ilirija 8.50.
- Apr 18: Ilirija 55, Cinkarna Celje 72. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 14: Cinkarna Celje 48, Ilirija 51. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 29: Domel Skofja Loka 43, Maribor 62. Won. Odds: Domel Skofja Loka 3.83, Maribor 1.22.
- Oct 17: Cinkarna Celje 64, Maribor 38. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 10: Jezica 51, Maribor 56. Won. Odds: Jezica 1.75, Maribor 1.91.
- Oct 3: Maribor 42, Triglav 47. Lost. Odds: Maribor 2.00, Triglav 1.70.
- Apr 3: Maribor 66, Cinkarna Celje 90. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Maribor dropped from 2.10 to 1.70 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved down from 124.5 to 120.5 since it was first published.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Ilirija.
- 134.3 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 120.5.
- 4th vs 2nd in the 1 SKL Women standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ILI moneyline | 1.66 | moved up 1.98 |
| MAR moneyline | 2.10 | moved down 1.70 |
| Total points | 124.5 | moved down 120.5 |
| ILI spread | −3.5 | moved up +1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
1 SKL Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 300 | 183 | +117 | |
| 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 257 | 273 | −16 | |
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 196 | 156 | +40 | |
| 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 266 | 261 | +5 | |
| 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 226 | 260 | −34 | |
| 6 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 205 | 317 | −112 |
- Playoffs
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Ilirija host Maribor in the 1 SKL Women on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.