Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 73%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 221 Margin HOU by 3 Win HOU 55% Actual 217 · HOU won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Last 7 and 6 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Houston Rockets 2, Oklahoma City Thunder 2.
- Average total 218.5 points per meeting
- Over 219.5 1 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting HOU by 27 Oct 15, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 15, 2026 NBA Houston Rockets 116–89 Oklahoma City Thunder 205 pts
- Feb 7, 2026 NBA Oklahoma City Thunder 106–112 Houston Rockets 218 pts
- Jan 15, 2026 NBA Houston Rockets 91–111 Oklahoma City Thunder 202 pts
- Oct 21, 2025 NBA Oklahoma City Thunder 125–124 OT Houston Rockets 249 pts · OT
Last five games
- Oct 30: Dallas Mavericks 116, Houston Rockets 111. Lost. Odds: Dallas Mavericks 2.65, Houston Rockets 1.50.
- Oct 28: Milwaukee Bucks 100, Houston Rockets 132. Won. Odds: Milwaukee Bucks 3.75, Houston Rockets 1.29.
- Oct 26: Houston Rockets 120, Atlanta Hawks 110. Won. Odds: Houston Rockets 1.52, Atlanta Hawks 2.62.
- Oct 24: Atlanta Hawks 114, Houston Rockets 121. Won. Odds: Atlanta Hawks 1.90, Houston Rockets 1.92.
- Oct 23: San Antonio Spurs 110, Houston Rockets 114. Won. Odds: San Antonio Spurs 1.52, Houston Rockets 2.62.
- Oct 28: Dallas Mavericks 120, Oklahoma City Thunder 96. Lost. Odds: Dallas Mavericks 2.60, Oklahoma City Thunder 1.53.
- Oct 26: Oklahoma City Thunder 125, Phoenix Suns 114. Won. Odds: Oklahoma City Thunder 1.30, Phoenix Suns 3.65.
- Oct 25: Oklahoma City Thunder 108, Los Angeles Clippers 101. Won. Odds: Oklahoma City Thunder 1.07, Los Angeles Clippers 9.50.
- Oct 22: Oklahoma City Thunder 96, Denver Nuggets 84. Won. Odds: Oklahoma City Thunder 1.30, Denver Nuggets 3.65.
- Oct 20: San Antonio Spurs 104, Oklahoma City Thunder 116. Won. Odds: San Antonio Spurs 1.97, Oklahoma City Thunder 1.85.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Houston Rockets, who played yesterday.
- Net rating difference of 13.5 — Houston Rockets +11.7 per 100 possessions, Oklahoma City Thunder −1.8.
- −10.4 points away — Oklahoma City Thunder averaged 113.2 at home and 102.8 away this season.
- 4-1 in the last five for Houston Rockets.
- 4-1 in the last five for Oklahoma City Thunder.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| HOU moneyline | 1.67 | 1.67 |
| OKC moneyline | 2.20 | moved up 2.25 |
| Total points | 218.5 | moved up 219.5 |
| HOU spread | −2.5 | −2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 470 | 443 | +27 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 453 | 439 | +14 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 442 | 441 | +1 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 683 | 638 | +45 | |
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 366 | 338 | +28 | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 351 | 344 | +7 | |
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 332 | 325 | +7 | |
| 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 578 | 571 | +7 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 697 | 709 | −12 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 572 | 544 | +28 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 534 | 559 | −25 | |
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 457 | 486 | −29 | |
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 545 | 573 | −28 | |
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 549 | 585 | −36 | |
| 15 | 5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 514 | 588 | −74 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Houston Rockets host Oklahoma City Thunder in the NBA on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.