Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks prediction
Houston Rockets
32
38
30
28
Dallas Mavericks
26
12
38
34
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 73%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Houston Rockets128121Dallas Mavericks110110Houston Rockets128121Dallas Mavericks110110Total 231 Margin HOU by 11 Win HOU 73% Actual 238 · HOU won
Houston Rockets
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Dallas Mavericks
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks
Houston Rockets
Dallas Mavericks
Last 7 and 6 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Houston Rockets 2, Dallas Mavericks 3.
- Average total 231.6 points per meeting
- Over 230.5 2 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting DAL by 5 Oct 30, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 30, 2026 NBA Dallas Mavericks 116–111 Houston Rockets 227 pts
- Oct 11, 2026 NBA Houston Rockets 115–132 Dallas Mavericks 247 pts
- Oct 9, 2026 NBA Dallas Mavericks 117–135 Houston Rockets 252 pts
- Jan 31, 2026 NBA Houston Rockets 111–107 Dallas Mavericks 218 pts
- Jan 3, 2026 NBA Dallas Mavericks 110–104 Houston Rockets 214 pts
Last five games
Houston Rockets
3-2 - Oct 15: Houston Rockets 116, Oklahoma City Thunder 89. Won. Odds: Houston Rockets 2.11, Oklahoma City Thunder 1.68.
- Oct 11: Houston Rockets 115, Dallas Mavericks 132. Lost. Odds: Houston Rockets 1.77, Dallas Mavericks 1.93.
- Oct 9: Dallas Mavericks 117, Houston Rockets 135. Won. Odds: Dallas Mavericks 2.13, Houston Rockets 1.63.
- May 1: Houston Rockets 78, Los Angeles Lakers 98. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 29: Los Angeles Lakers 93, Houston Rockets 99. Won. No odds on record.
Dallas Mavericks
2-3 - Oct 16: Dallas Mavericks 111, Atlanta Hawks 135. Lost. Odds: Dallas Mavericks 1.81, Atlanta Hawks 1.89.
- Oct 14: Dallas Mavericks 97, New Orleans Pelicans 101. Lost. Odds: Dallas Mavericks 2.32, New Orleans Pelicans 1.56.
- Oct 11: Houston Rockets 115, Dallas Mavericks 132. Won. Odds: Houston Rockets 1.77, Dallas Mavericks 1.93.
- Oct 9: Dallas Mavericks 117, Houston Rockets 135. Lost. Odds: Dallas Mavericks 2.13, Houston Rockets 1.63.
- Apr 12: Dallas Mavericks 149, Chicago Bulls 128. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Houston Rockets dropped from 1.32 to 1.23 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 228.5 to 230.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 8.8 — Houston Rockets +11.7 per 100 possessions, Dallas Mavericks +2.9.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Dallas Mavericks.
- 231.6 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 230.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| HOU moneyline | 1.32 | moved down 1.23 |
| DAL moneyline | 3.30 | moved up 4.40 |
| Total points | 228.5 | moved up 230.5 |
| HOU spread | −8.5 | moved down −9.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Memphis Grizzlies |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 470 | 443 | +27 |
| 2 |  Utah Jazz |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 453 | 439 | +14 |
| 3 |  New Orleans Pelicans |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 442 | 441 | +1 |
| 4 |  Golden State Warriors |
6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 683 | 638 | +45 |
| 5 | Houston Rockets |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 366 | 338 | +28 |
| 6 |  Portland Trail Blazers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 351 | 344 | +7 |
| 7 |  Los Angeles Clippers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 332 | 325 | +7 |
| 8 |  Denver Nuggets |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 578 | 571 | +7 |
| 9 |  Minnesota Timberwolves |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 697 | 709 | −12 |
| 10 |  San Antonio Spurs |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 572 | 544 | +28 |
| 11 |  Los Angeles Lakers |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 534 | 559 | −25 |
| 12 | Dallas Mavericks |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 457 | 486 | −29 |
| 13 |  Phoenix Suns |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 545 | 573 | −28 |
| 14 |  Oklahoma City Thunder |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 549 | 585 | −36 |
| 15 |  Sacramento Kings |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 514 | 588 | −74 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Houston Rockets host Dallas Mavericks in the NBA on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.