Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 75%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 228 Margin HOU by 2 Win HOU 55% Actual 230 · HOU won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Shooting
Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks
Last 7 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Houston Rockets 5, Atlanta Hawks 0.
- Average total 224.0 points per meeting
- Over 229.5 3 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting HOU by 7 Oct 24, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 24, 2026 NBA Atlanta Hawks 114–121 Houston Rockets 235 pts
- Mar 20, 2026 NBA Houston Rockets 117–95 Atlanta Hawks 212 pts
- Jan 29, 2026 NBA Atlanta Hawks 86–104 Houston Rockets 190 pts
- Oct 16, 2025 NBA Atlanta Hawks 115–133 Houston Rockets 248 pts
- Oct 6, 2025 NBA Houston Rockets 122–113 Atlanta Hawks 235 pts
Last five games
- Oct 24: Atlanta Hawks 114, Houston Rockets 121. Won. Odds: Atlanta Hawks 1.90, Houston Rockets 1.92.
- Oct 23: San Antonio Spurs 110, Houston Rockets 114. Won. Odds: San Antonio Spurs 1.52, Houston Rockets 2.62.
- Oct 21: Houston Rockets 128, Dallas Mavericks 110. Won. Odds: Houston Rockets 1.23, Dallas Mavericks 4.40.
- Oct 15: Houston Rockets 116, Oklahoma City Thunder 89. Won. Odds: Houston Rockets 2.11, Oklahoma City Thunder 1.68.
- Oct 11: Houston Rockets 115, Dallas Mavericks 132. Lost. Odds: Houston Rockets 1.77, Dallas Mavericks 1.93.
- Oct 24: Atlanta Hawks 114, Houston Rockets 121. Lost. Odds: Atlanta Hawks 1.90, Houston Rockets 1.92.
- Oct 23: Charlotte Hornets 81, Atlanta Hawks 128. Won. Odds: Charlotte Hornets 2.15, Atlanta Hawks 1.74.
- Oct 21: Orlando Magic 125, Atlanta Hawks 132. Won. Odds: Orlando Magic 1.75, Atlanta Hawks 2.14.
- Oct 16: Dallas Mavericks 111, Atlanta Hawks 135. Won. Odds: Dallas Mavericks 1.81, Atlanta Hawks 1.89.
- Oct 12: Atlanta Hawks 113, Oklahoma City Thunder 110. Won. Odds: Atlanta Hawks 1.45, Oklahoma City Thunder 2.61.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Houston Rockets coming into this game.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Houston Rockets.
- Net rating difference of 11.8 — Houston Rockets +11.7 per 100 possessions, Atlanta Hawks −0.1.
- 4-1 in the last five for Atlanta Hawks.
- 224.0 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 229.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| HOU moneyline | 1.42 | moved up 1.52 |
| ATL moneyline | 2.65 | moved down 2.62 |
| Total points | 230.5 | moved down 229.5 |
| HOU spread | −5.5 | moved up −4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 470 | 443 | +27 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 453 | 439 | +14 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 442 | 441 | +1 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 683 | 638 | +45 | |
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 366 | 338 | +28 | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 351 | 344 | +7 | |
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 332 | 325 | +7 | |
| 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 578 | 571 | +7 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 697 | 709 | −12 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 572 | 544 | +28 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 534 | 559 | −25 | |
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 457 | 486 | −29 | |
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 545 | 573 | −28 | |
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 549 | 585 | −36 | |
| 15 | 5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 514 | 588 | −74 |
Pre-season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 507 | 432 | +75 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 613 | 586 | +27 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 497 | 464 | +33 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 495 | 468 | +27 | |
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 474 | 452 | +22 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 610 | 574 | +36 | |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 640 | 612 | +28 | |
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 453 | 455 | −2 | |
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 612 | 584 | +28 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 547 | 599 | −52 | |
| 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 348 | 361 | −13 | |
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 479 | 473 | +6 | |
| 13 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 454 | 480 | −26 | |
| 14 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 386 | 444 | −58 | |
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 530 | 621 | −91 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Houston Rockets host Atlanta Hawks in the NBA on Monday, October 26, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.