Horsens vs Team FOG Naestved prediction
Horsens
15
21
15
22
Team FOG Naestved
31
28
24
18
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 60%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Horsens73100Team FOG Naestved10176Horsens73100Team FOG Naestved10176Total 176 Margin HOR by 24 Win HOR 93% Actual 174 · TFN won
Horsens
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Team FOG Naestved
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Horsens vs Team FOG Naestved
Horsens
Team FOG Naestved
Last 7 and 8 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Horsens 2, Team FOG Naestved 2.
- Average total 185.0 points per meeting
- Over 173.5 3 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting HOR by 21 Apr 20, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 20, 2026 Basketligaen Horsens 103–82 Team FOG Naestved 185 pts
- Mar 5, 2026 Basketligaen Team FOG Naestved 100–77 Horsens 177 pts
- Feb 1, 2026 Basketligaen Team FOG Naestved 82–87 Horsens 169 pts
- Jan 15, 2026 Basketligaen Horsens 104–105 OT Team FOG Naestved 209 pts · OT
Last five games
Horsens
1-4 - Sep 24: Bakken Bears 83, Horsens 64. Lost. Odds: Bakken Bears 1.09, Horsens 5.60.
- Sep 17: Svendborg 70, Horsens 92. Won. Odds: Svendborg 1.47, Horsens 2.45.
- May 14: Svendborg 103, Horsens 78. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 4: Bakken Bears 110, Horsens 67. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 30: Horsens 64, Bakken Bears 103. Lost. No odds on record.
Team FOG Naestved
2-3 - Sep 24: Team FOG Naestved 117, Holbaek-Stenhus 56. Won. Odds: Team FOG Naestved –, Holbaek-Stenhus 15.10.
- May 25: Team FOG Naestved 81, Bakken Bears 87. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 21: Bakken Bears 98, Team FOG Naestved 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 18: Team FOG Naestved 81, Bakken Bears 91. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 14: Bakken Bears 92, Team FOG Naestved 93. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Net rating difference of 27.0 — Horsens +10.9 per 100 possessions, Team FOG Naestved +37.9.
- +6.3 points at home — Horsens averaged 90.8 at home and 84.5 away this season.
- 1-4 in the last five for Horsens.
- Even head-to-head, 2-2 over the last 4 meetings.
- 185.0 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 173.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| HOR moneyline | 2.42 | moved down 2.35 |
| TFN moneyline | 1.50 | moved down 1.46 |
| Total points | 173.5 | 173.5 |
| HOR spread · regulation | +4.5 | +4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Basketligaen standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Team FOG Naestved |
8 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 830 | 562 | +268 |
| 2 |  Bakken Bears |
7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 739 | 533 | +206 |
| 3 | Horsens |
8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 701 | 635 | +66 |
| 4 |  Svendborg |
8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 729 | 660 | +69 |
| 5 |  Randers |
8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 762 | 686 | +76 |
| 6 |  Copenhagen |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 573 | 571 | +2 |
| 7 |  Holbaek-Stenhus |
8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 609 | 713 | −104 |
| 8 |  Gladsaxe |
8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 623 | 720 | −97 |
| 9 |  Vaerlose |
8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 659 | 736 | −77 |
| 10 |  Vejen |
8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 648 | 764 | −116 |
| 11 | BMS Herlev | 8 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 616 | 785 | −169 |
| 12 |  Bears Academy |
8 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 619 | 743 | −124 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Horsens host Team FOG Naestved in the Basketligaen on Sunday, September 27, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.