Horsens vs Holbaek-Stenhus prediction
Horsens
23
43
0
31
Holbaek-Stenhus
18
24
0
41
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 79%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Horsens9784Holbaek-Stenhus8379Horsens9784Holbaek-Stenhus8379Total 163 Margin HOR by 5 Win HOR 59% Actual 180 · HOR won
Horsens vs Holbaek-Stenhus
Horsens
Holbaek-Stenhus
Last 7 and 8 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Horsens 2, Holbaek-Stenhus 0.
- Average total 160.5 points per meeting
- Over 164.5 0 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting HOR by 15 Dec 3, 2025
Meetings
- Dec 3, 2025 Basketligaen Horsens 87–72 Holbaek-Stenhus 159 pts
- Sep 28, 2025 Basketligaen Holbaek-Stenhus 67–95 Horsens 162 pts
Last five games
Horsens
3-2 - Oct 10: Copenhagen 69, Horsens 80. Won. Odds: Copenhagen 1.57, Horsens 1.90.
- Oct 2: Horsens 50, Vaerlose 41. Won. Odds: Horsens 1.02, Vaerlose 8.57.
- Sep 27: Horsens 73, Team FOG Naestved 101. Lost. Odds: Horsens 2.35, Team FOG Naestved 1.46.
- Sep 24: Bakken Bears 83, Horsens 64. Lost. Odds: Bakken Bears 1.09, Horsens 5.60.
- Sep 17: Svendborg 70, Horsens 92. Won. Odds: Svendborg 1.47, Horsens 2.45.
Holbaek-Stenhus
2-3 - Oct 10: Holbaek-Stenhus 88, Bears Academy 67. Won. Odds: Holbaek-Stenhus 1.75, Bears Academy 1.70.
- Oct 1: Holbaek-Stenhus 80, BMS Herlev 77. Won. Odds: Holbaek-Stenhus 1.39, BMS Herlev 2.57.
- Sep 26: Svendborg 86, Holbaek-Stenhus 75. Lost. Odds: Svendborg –, Holbaek-Stenhus 12.10.
- Sep 24: Team FOG Naestved 117, Holbaek-Stenhus 56. Lost. Odds: Team FOG Naestved –, Holbaek-Stenhus 15.10.
- Sep 17: Holbaek-Stenhus 84, Randers 100. Lost. Odds: Holbaek-Stenhus 11.00, Randers 1.01.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Net rating difference of 25.4 — Horsens +10.9 per 100 possessions, Holbaek-Stenhus −14.5.
- +6.3 points at home — Horsens averaged 90.8 at home and 84.5 away this season.
- −11.3 points away — Holbaek-Stenhus averaged 81.8 at home and 70.5 away this season.
- 3rd vs 7th in the Basketligaen standings.
- Different pace — Horsens averaged 74.8 possessions per game, Holbaek-Stenhus 80.4.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| HOR moneyline | 1.05 | moved down 1.02 |
| HOL moneyline | 7.80 | moved up 9.65 |
| Total points | 165.5 | moved down 164.5 |
| HOR spread | −19.5 | moved down −23.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Basketligaen standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Team FOG Naestved |
8 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 830 | 562 | +268 |
| 2 |  Bakken Bears |
7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 739 | 533 | +206 |
| 3 | Horsens |
8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 701 | 635 | +66 |
| 4 |  Svendborg |
8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 729 | 660 | +69 |
| 5 |  Randers |
8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 762 | 686 | +76 |
| 6 |  Copenhagen |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 573 | 571 | +2 |
| 7 | Holbaek-Stenhus |
8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 609 | 713 | −104 |
| 8 |  Gladsaxe |
8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 623 | 720 | −97 |
| 9 |  Vaerlose |
8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 659 | 736 | −77 |
| 10 |  Vejen |
8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 648 | 764 | −116 |
| 11 | BMS Herlev | 8 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 616 | 785 | −169 |
| 12 |  Bears Academy |
8 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 619 | 743 | −124 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Horsens host Holbaek-Stenhus in the Basketligaen on Thursday, October 15, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.