Honka vs Lahti Basketball prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 83%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 181 Margin HON by 9 Win HON 71% Actual 186 · HON won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Honka vs Lahti Basketball
Last 10 games each with full stats · all competitions
Honka at home, last 5 games · Lahti Basketball away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Honka 1, Lahti Basketball 1.
- Average total 187.5 points per meeting
- Over 180.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting LAH by 9 Dec 19, 2025
Meetings
- Dec 19, 2025 Korisliiga Lahti Basketball 96–87 Honka 183 pts
- Oct 18, 2025 Korisliiga Honka 105–87 Lahti Basketball 192 pts
Last five games
- Oct 10: Kataja 99, Honka 108. Won. Odds: Kataja 1.24, Honka 2.82.
- Oct 6: Honka 97, Pyrinto Tampere 96. After overtime. Won. Odds: Honka 1.25, Pyrinto Tampere 3.62.
- Oct 3: Honka 99, Kouvot Kouvola 91. Won. Odds: Honka 1.24, Kouvot Kouvola 3.75.
- Sep 29: Salon Vilpas 104, Honka 107. Won. Odds: Salon Vilpas 1.08, Honka 6.69.
- Sep 16: Honka 84, Kouvot Kouvola 96. Lost. Odds: Honka 1.41, Kouvot Kouvola 2.76.
- Oct 14: Lahti Basketball 91, Kouvot Kouvola 83. Won. Odds: Lahti Basketball 1.35, Kouvot Kouvola 3.00.
- Oct 7: Lahti Basketball 91, Kataja 85. Won. Odds: Lahti Basketball 2.40, Kataja 1.48.
- Oct 2: Helsinki Seagulls 76, Lahti Basketball 70. Lost. Odds: Helsinki Seagulls 1.25, Lahti Basketball 3.50.
- Sep 19: Lahti Basketball 73, Kataja 77. Lost. Odds: Lahti Basketball 1.36, Kataja 2.97.
- Sep 15: Helsinki Seagulls 85, Lahti Basketball 80. Lost. Odds: Helsinki Seagulls 1.15, Lahti Basketball 4.40.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Honka coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Lahti Basketball dropped from 2.80 to 2.27 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Honka, 1 for Lahti Basketball.
- Over/under moved down from 182.5 to 180.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 9.3 — Honka +1.4 per 100 possessions, Lahti Basketball −7.9.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| HON moneyline | 1.37 | moved up 1.39 |
| LAH moneyline | 2.80 | moved down 2.27 |
| Total points | 182.5 | moved down 180.5 |
| HON spread | −5.5 | moved up −4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Korisliiga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 760 | 667 | +93 | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 778 | 701 | +77 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 824 | 786 | +38 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 696 | 633 | +63 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 630 | 657 | −27 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 694 | 697 | −3 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 644 | 689 | −45 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 690 | 692 | −2 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 668 | 682 | −14 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 692 | 726 | −34 | |
| 11 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 585 | 684 | −99 | |
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 702 | 749 | −47 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation - I Divisioona A
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Honka host Lahti Basketball in the Korisliiga on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.