Honka vs Kouvot Kouvola prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 83%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 179 Margin HON by 17 Win HON 84% Actual 190 · HON won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Honka vs Kouvot Kouvola
Last 10 games each with full stats · all competitions
Honka at home, last 5 games · Kouvot Kouvola away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Honka 2, Kouvot Kouvola 1.
- Average total 180.3 points per meeting
- Over 180.5 1 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting KOU by 12 Sep 16, 2026
Meetings
- Sep 16, 2026 Suomen Cup Honka 84–96 Kouvot Kouvola 180 pts
- Dec 30, 2025 Korisliiga Kouvot Kouvola 91–97 Honka 188 pts
- Oct 25, 2025 Korisliiga Honka 95–78 Kouvot Kouvola 173 pts
Last five games
- Sep 29: Salon Vilpas 104, Honka 107. Won. Odds: Salon Vilpas 1.08, Honka 6.69.
- Sep 16: Honka 84, Kouvot Kouvola 96. Lost. Odds: Honka 1.41, Kouvot Kouvola 2.76.
- Sep 12: UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 93, Honka 70. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 4: UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 92, Honka 72. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 1: Honka 72, UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 88. Lost. No odds on record.
- Sep 30: Kouvot Kouvola 74, Karhu Basket 77. Lost. Odds: Kouvot Kouvola 2.07, Karhu Basket 1.70.
- Sep 22: Kouvot Kouvola 85, UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 73. Won. Odds: Kouvot Kouvola 1.60, UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 2.10.
- Sep 16: Honka 84, Kouvot Kouvola 96. Won. Odds: Honka 1.41, Kouvot Kouvola 2.76.
- Mar 18: Kouvot Kouvola 103, Kobrat 99. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 14: Pyrinto Tampere 78, Kouvot Kouvola 93. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Honka.
- 1-4 in the last five for Honka.
- 4-1 in the last five for Kouvot Kouvola.
- 180.3 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 180.5.
- 3rd vs 10th in the Korisliiga standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| HON moneyline | 1.23 | moved up 1.24 |
| KOU moneyline | 3.75 | 3.75 |
| Total points | 180.5 | 180.5 |
| HON spread | −8.5 | −8.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Korisliiga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 760 | 667 | +93 | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 778 | 701 | +77 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 824 | 786 | +38 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 696 | 633 | +63 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 630 | 657 | −27 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 694 | 697 | −3 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 644 | 689 | −45 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 690 | 692 | −2 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 668 | 682 | −14 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 692 | 726 | −34 | |
| 11 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 585 | 684 | −99 | |
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 702 | 749 | −47 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation - I Divisioona A
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Honka host Kouvot Kouvola in the Korisliiga on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.