Holbaek-Stenhus vs BMS Herlev prediction
Holbaek-Stenhus
21
16
25
18
BMS Herlev
26
12
16
23
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 72%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Holbaek-Stenhus8098BMS Herlev7780Holbaek-Stenhus8098BMS Herlev7780Total 178 Margin HOL by 18 Win HOL 81% Actual 157 · HOL won
Holbaek-Stenhus
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction BMS Herlev
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Holbaek-Stenhus vs BMS Herlev
Holbaek-Stenhus
BMS Herlev
Last 8 games each with full stats · all competitions
Holbaek-Stenhus at home, last 4 games · BMS Herlev away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Holbaek-Stenhus 1, BMS Herlev 1.
- Average total 163.0 points per meeting
- Over 171.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting HOL by 15 Apr 1, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 1, 2026 Basketligaen BMS Herlev 65–80 Holbaek-Stenhus 145 pts
- Oct 6, 2025 Basketligaen BMS Herlev 92–89 Holbaek-Stenhus 181 pts
Last five games
Holbaek-Stenhus
1-4 - Sep 26: Svendborg 86, Holbaek-Stenhus 75. Lost. Odds: Svendborg –, Holbaek-Stenhus 12.10.
- Sep 24: Team FOG Naestved 117, Holbaek-Stenhus 56. Lost. Odds: Team FOG Naestved –, Holbaek-Stenhus 15.10.
- Sep 17: Holbaek-Stenhus 84, Randers 100. Lost. Odds: Holbaek-Stenhus 11.00, Randers 1.01.
- Apr 23: Holbaek-Stenhus 83, Vaerlose 89. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 17: Vejen 83, Holbaek-Stenhus 103. Won. No odds on record.
BMS Herlev
3-2 - Sep 26: BMS Herlev 95, Vejen 106. Lost. Odds: BMS Herlev 2.60, Vejen 1.37.
- Sep 23: BMS Herlev 70, Gladsaxe 102. Lost. Odds: BMS Herlev 1.67, Gladsaxe 2.05.
- Sep 20: Bears Academy 75, BMS Herlev 82. Won. Odds: Bears Academy 1.18, BMS Herlev 4.10.
- Apr 23: BMS Herlev 75, Amager 61. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 19: Vaerlose 74, BMS Herlev 97. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Holbaek-Stenhus coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Holbaek-Stenhus dropped from 1.50 to 1.39 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 10.2 — Holbaek-Stenhus −14.5 per 100 possessions, BMS Herlev −24.7.
- +11.3 points at home — Holbaek-Stenhus averaged 81.8 at home and 70.5 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| HOL moneyline | 1.50 | moved down 1.39 |
| HER moneyline | 2.40 | moved up 2.57 |
| Total points | 171.5 | 171.5 |
| HOL spread · regulation | −4.5 | −4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Basketligaen standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Team FOG Naestved |
8 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 830 | 562 | +268 |
| 2 |  Bakken Bears |
7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 739 | 533 | +206 |
| 3 |  Horsens |
8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 701 | 635 | +66 |
| 4 |  Svendborg |
8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 729 | 660 | +69 |
| 5 |  Randers |
8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 762 | 686 | +76 |
| 6 |  Copenhagen |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 573 | 571 | +2 |
| 7 | Holbaek-Stenhus |
8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 609 | 713 | −104 |
| 8 |  Gladsaxe |
8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 623 | 720 | −97 |
| 9 |  Vaerlose |
8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 659 | 736 | −77 |
| 10 |  Vejen |
8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 648 | 764 | −116 |
| 11 | BMS Herlev | 8 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 616 | 785 | −169 |
| 12 |  Bears Academy |
8 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 619 | 743 | −124 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Holbaek-Stenhus host BMS Herlev in the Basketligaen on Thursday, October 1, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.