Holbaek-Stenhus vs Bakken Bears prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 78%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 172 Margin BAK by 16 Win BAK 80% Actual 180 · BAK won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Shooting
Holbaek-Stenhus vs Bakken Bears
Last 8 and 13 games with full stats · all competitions
Holbaek-Stenhus at home, last 4 games · Bakken Bears away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Holbaek-Stenhus 0, Bakken Bears 2.
- Average total 178.0 points per meeting
- Over 174.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting BAK by 30 Nov 14, 2025
Meetings
- Nov 14, 2025 Basketligaen Holbaek-Stenhus 75–105 Bakken Bears 180 pts
- Nov 2, 2025 Basketligaen Bakken Bears 119–57 Holbaek-Stenhus 176 pts
Last five games
- Oct 24: Vaerlose 64, Holbaek-Stenhus 68. Won. Odds: Vaerlose 1.53, Holbaek-Stenhus 2.30.
- Oct 15: Horsens 97, Holbaek-Stenhus 83. Lost. Odds: Horsens 1.02, Holbaek-Stenhus 9.65.
- Oct 10: Holbaek-Stenhus 88, Bears Academy 67. Won. Odds: Holbaek-Stenhus 1.75, Bears Academy 1.70.
- Oct 1: Holbaek-Stenhus 80, BMS Herlev 77. Won. Odds: Holbaek-Stenhus 1.39, BMS Herlev 2.57.
- Sep 26: Svendborg 86, Holbaek-Stenhus 75. Lost. Odds: Svendborg –, Holbaek-Stenhus 12.10.
- Oct 27: BC Prievidza 78, Bakken Bears 83. Won. Odds: BC Prievidza 1.45, Bakken Bears 2.50.
- Oct 24: Bakken Bears 105, BMS Herlev 67. Won. Odds: Bakken Bears 1.01, BMS Herlev 9.20.
- Oct 21: Bakken Bears 91, Absheron Lions 88. After overtime. Won. Odds: Bakken Bears 1.04, Absheron Lions 8.00.
- Oct 18: Vaerlose 82, Bakken Bears 123. Won. Odds: Vaerlose 11.00, Bakken Bears 1.01.
- Oct 14: Geneva Lions 73, Bakken Bears 78. Won. Odds: Geneva Lions 1.51, Bakken Bears 2.45.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 6-game winning streak for Bakken Bears coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Holbaek-Stenhus, 2 for Bakken Bears.
- Net rating difference of 33.8 — Holbaek-Stenhus −14.5 per 100 possessions, Bakken Bears +19.3.
- +11.3 points at home — Holbaek-Stenhus averaged 81.8 at home and 70.5 away this season.
- 7th vs 2nd in the Basketligaen standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| HOL moneyline | 10.50 | 10.50 |
| BAK moneyline | 1.01 | 1.01 |
| Total points | 174.5 | 174.5 |
| HOL spread | +31.5 | +31.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Basketligaen standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 830 | 562 | +268 | |
| 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 739 | 533 | +206 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 701 | 635 | +66 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 729 | 660 | +69 | |
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 762 | 686 | +76 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 573 | 571 | +2 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 609 | 713 | −104 | |
| 8 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 623 | 720 | −97 | |
| 9 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 659 | 736 | −77 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 648 | 764 | −116 | |
| 11 | BMS Herlev | 8 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 616 | 785 | −169 |
| 12 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 619 | 743 | −124 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Holbaek-Stenhus host Bakken Bears in the Basketligaen on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.