Hogsbo vs Nassjo prediction
Hogsbo
17
23
28
17
Nassjo
17
25
15
24
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 58%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Hogsbo8587Nassjo8191Hogsbo8587Nassjo8191Total 178 Margin NAS by 4 Win NAS 60% Actual 166 · HOG won
Hogsbo
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Nassjo
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Hogsbo vs Nassjo
Hogsbo
Nassjo
Last 7 and 8 games with full stats · all competitions
Hogsbo at home, last 4 games · Nassjo away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Hogsbo 2, Nassjo 1.
- Average total 192.0 points per meeting
- Over 175.5 2 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting HOG by 18 Feb 6, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 6, 2026 Basketligan Hogsbo 93–75 Nassjo 168 pts
- Jan 9, 2026 Basketligan Nassjo 111–98 Hogsbo 209 pts
- Oct 10, 2025 Basketligan Nassjo 95–104 Hogsbo 199 pts
Last five games
Hogsbo
2-3 - Oct 2: Uppsala 92, Hogsbo 88. Lost. Odds: Uppsala 1.95, Hogsbo 1.80.
- Sep 29: Hogsbo 96, Boras 90. Won. Odds: Hogsbo 3.06, Boras 1.34.
- Mar 17: Jamtland 85, Hogsbo 74. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 14: Hogsbo 81, Umea 77. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 10: Hogsbo 79, Uppsala 93. Lost. No odds on record.
Nassjo
2-3 - Sep 29: Nassjo 79, Norrkoping 89. Lost. Odds: Nassjo 2.93, Norrkoping 1.36.
- Sep 25: Boras 75, Nassjo 79. Won. Odds: Boras 1.12, Nassjo 5.65.
- Mar 30: Nassjo 82, Norrkoping 113. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 28: Nassjo 86, Norrkoping 80. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 23: Norrkoping 118, Nassjo 88. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Hogsbo dropped from 2.12 to 1.51 since they were first published.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Hogsbo.
- 192.0 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 175.5.
- 9th vs 7th in the Basketligan standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| HOG moneyline | 2.12 | moved down 1.51 |
| NAS moneyline | 1.65 | moved up 2.39 |
| Total points | 174.5 | moved up 175.5 |
| HOG spread | +2.5 | moved down −5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Basketligan standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sodertalje |
8 | 8 | 0 | 1.000 | 713 | 592 | +121 |
| 2 |  Jamtland |
9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 813 | 730 | +83 |
| 3 |  BC Lulea |
9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 872 | 748 | +124 |
| 4 |  Norrkoping |
8 | 5 | 3 | .625 | 733 | 681 | +52 |
| 5 |  Uppsala |
7 | 4 | 3 | .571 | 537 | 578 | −41 |
| 6 |  Boras |
7 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 605 | 626 | −21 |
| 7 | Nassjo |
8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 632 | 663 | −31 |
| 8 |  Koping Stars |
8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 682 | 700 | −18 |
| 9 | Hogsbo |
7 | 2 | 5 | .286 | 582 | 637 | −55 |
| 10 |  Umea |
8 | 1 | 7 | .125 | 605 | 692 | −87 |
| 11 |  Sloga Uppsala |
7 | 0 | 7 | .000 | 544 | 671 | −127 |
- Playoffs: Qualifying Finals
- Relegation
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Hogsbo host Nassjo in the Basketligan on Friday, October 9, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.