Helsinki Seagulls vs Salon Vilpas prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 55%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 167 Margin SAL by 3 Win SAL 56% Actual 165 · HEL won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Helsinki Seagulls vs Salon Vilpas
Last 10 and 14 games with full stats · all competitions
Helsinki Seagulls at home, last 5 games · Salon Vilpas away, last 8
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Helsinki Seagulls 1, Salon Vilpas 4.
- Average total 160.6 points per meeting
- Over 167.5 2 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SAL by 15 Oct 24, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 24, 2026 Korisliiga Salon Vilpas 79–64 Helsinki Seagulls 143 pts
- Mar 18, 2026 Korisliiga Salon Vilpas 98–71 Helsinki Seagulls 169 pts
- Feb 17, 2026 Korisliiga Helsinki Seagulls 86–97 Salon Vilpas 183 pts
- Jan 20, 2026 Korisliiga Helsinki Seagulls 84–81 Salon Vilpas 165 pts
- Nov 15, 2025 Korisliiga Salon Vilpas 76–67 Helsinki Seagulls 143 pts
Last five games
- Oct 24: Salon Vilpas 79, Helsinki Seagulls 64. Lost. Odds: Salon Vilpas 1.22, Helsinki Seagulls 3.60.
- Oct 17: Karhu Basket 91, Helsinki Seagulls 76. Lost. Odds: Karhu Basket 1.62, Helsinki Seagulls 1.83.
- Oct 9: Helsinki Seagulls 84, Bisons Loimaa 56. Won. Odds: Helsinki Seagulls 1.21, Bisons Loimaa 4.20.
- Oct 6: UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 88, Helsinki Seagulls 67. Lost. Odds: UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 2.53, Helsinki Seagulls 1.48.
- Oct 2: Helsinki Seagulls 76, Lahti Basketball 70. Won. Odds: Helsinki Seagulls 1.25, Lahti Basketball 3.50.
- Oct 24: Salon Vilpas 79, Helsinki Seagulls 64. Won. Odds: Salon Vilpas 1.22, Helsinki Seagulls 3.60.
- Oct 20: Szombathely 85, Salon Vilpas 72. Lost. Odds: Szombathely 1.27, Salon Vilpas 3.45.
- Oct 17: Bisons Loimaa 70, Salon Vilpas 81. Won. Odds: Bisons Loimaa 4.42, Salon Vilpas 1.17.
- Oct 14: Salon Vilpas 81, KTP Kotka Basket 102. Lost. Odds: Salon Vilpas 1.38, KTP Kotka Basket 2.88.
- Oct 10: Salon Vilpas 95, UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 73. Won. Odds: Salon Vilpas 1.20, UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 4.23.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Over/under moved up from 165.5 to 167.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 8.2 — Helsinki Seagulls +0.6 per 100 possessions, Salon Vilpas +8.8.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Salon Vilpas.
- +12.5 points at home — Helsinki Seagulls averaged 85.0 at home and 72.5 away this season.
- 160.6 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 167.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| HEL moneyline | 2.35 | moved up 2.50 |
| SAL moneyline | 1.50 | moved down 1.45 |
| Total points | 165.5 | moved up 167.5 |
| HEL spread | +4.5 | +4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Korisliiga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 760 | 667 | +93 | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 778 | 701 | +77 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 824 | 786 | +38 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 696 | 633 | +63 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 630 | 657 | −27 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 694 | 697 | −3 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 644 | 689 | −45 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 690 | 692 | −2 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 668 | 682 | −14 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 692 | 726 | −34 | |
| 11 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 585 | 684 | −99 | |
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 702 | 749 | −47 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation - I Divisioona A
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Helsinki Seagulls host Salon Vilpas in the Korisliiga on Tuesday, October 27, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.