Helsinki Seagulls vs Lahti Basketball prediction
Helsinki Seagulls
23
21
16
16
Lahti Basketball
14
11
20
25
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Helsinki Seagulls7686Lahti Basketball7083Helsinki Seagulls7686Lahti Basketball7083Total 169 Margin HEL by 3 Win HEL 58% Actual 146 · HEL won
Helsinki Seagulls
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Lahti Basketball
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Helsinki Seagulls vs Lahti Basketball
Helsinki Seagulls
Lahti Basketball
Last 10 games each with full stats · all competitions
Helsinki Seagulls at home, last 5 games · Lahti Basketball away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Helsinki Seagulls 1, Lahti Basketball 2.
- Average total 161.0 points per meeting
- Over 173.5 0 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting HEL by 5 Sep 15, 2026
Meetings
- Sep 15, 2026 Suomen Cup Helsinki Seagulls 85–80 Lahti Basketball 165 pts
- Dec 5, 2025 Korisliiga Helsinki Seagulls 73–81 Lahti Basketball 154 pts
- Oct 5, 2025 Korisliiga Lahti Basketball 85–79 Helsinki Seagulls 164 pts
Last five games
Helsinki Seagulls
2-3 - Sep 29: Kataja 102, Helsinki Seagulls 83. Lost. Odds: Kataja 1.99, Helsinki Seagulls 1.77.
- Sep 15: Helsinki Seagulls 85, Lahti Basketball 80. Won. Odds: Helsinki Seagulls 1.15, Lahti Basketball 4.40.
- Sep 9: Kataja 85, Helsinki Seagulls 93. Won. No odds on record.
- May 1: UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 97, Helsinki Seagulls 77. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 28: Helsinki Seagulls 58, Kataja 65. Lost. No odds on record.
Lahti Basketball
0-5 - Sep 19: Lahti Basketball 73, Kataja 77. Lost. Odds: Lahti Basketball 1.36, Kataja 2.97.
- Sep 15: Helsinki Seagulls 85, Lahti Basketball 80. Lost. Odds: Helsinki Seagulls 1.15, Lahti Basketball 4.40.
- Mar 18: Lahti Basketball 89, Bisons Loimaa 92. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 14: Kobrat 101, Lahti Basketball 100. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 10: Pyrinto Tampere 93, Lahti Basketball 77. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 6-game losing streak for Lahti Basketball coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 8.5 — Helsinki Seagulls +0.6 per 100 possessions, Lahti Basketball −7.9.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Lahti Basketball.
- +12.5 points at home — Helsinki Seagulls averaged 85.0 at home and 72.5 away this season.
- 161.0 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 173.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| HEL moneyline | 1.27 | moved down 1.25 |
| LAH moneyline | 3.40 | moved up 3.50 |
| Total points | 173.5 | 173.5 |
| HEL spread | −7.5 | moved down −8.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Korisliiga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  KTP Kotka Basket |
8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 760 | 667 | +93 |
| 2 |  Kipina |
8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 778 | 701 | +77 |
| 3 |  Honka |
8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 824 | 786 | +38 |
| 4 |  Salon Vilpas |
8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 696 | 633 | +63 |
| 5 | Helsinki Seagulls |
8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 630 | 657 | −27 |
| 6 |  Pyrinto Tampere |
8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 694 | 697 | −3 |
| 7 | Lahti Basketball |
8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 644 | 689 | −45 |
| 8 |  Kataja |
8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 690 | 692 | −2 |
| 9 |  Karhu Basket |
8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 668 | 682 | −14 |
| 10 |  Kouvot Kouvola |
8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 692 | 726 | −34 |
| 11 |  Bisons Loimaa |
8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 585 | 684 | −99 |
| 12 |  UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki |
8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 702 | 749 | −47 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation - I Divisioona A
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Helsinki Seagulls host Lahti Basketball in the Korisliiga on Friday, October 2, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.