Helios VS vs Fribourg prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 149 Margin FRI by 17 Win FRI 79% Actual 191 · FRI won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Helios VS vs Fribourg
Last 5 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Helios VS 0, Fribourg 3.
- Average total 153.3 points per meeting
- Over 155.5 1 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting FRI by 15 Mar 28, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 28, 2026 SB League Women Helios VS 64–79 Fribourg 143 pts
- Dec 21, 2025 SB League Women Helios VS 71–84 Fribourg 155 pts
- Sep 27, 2025 SB League Women Fribourg 95–67 Helios VS 162 pts
Last five games
- Oct 7: Geneve 102, Helios VS 80. Lost. Odds: Geneve 1.25, Helios VS 3.40.
- Sep 30: Helios VS 79, Nyon 99. Lost. Odds: Helios VS 5.60, Nyon 1.10.
- Sep 27: Helios VS 93, Pully 50. Won. Odds: Helios VS 1.02, Pully 9.25.
- Mar 28: Helios VS 64, Fribourg 79. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 21: Geneve 77, Helios VS 87. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 7: Fribourg 88, BBC Troistorrents 51. Won. Odds: Fribourg 1.03, BBC Troistorrents 8.50.
- Oct 2: Baden 76, Fribourg 70. Lost. Odds: Baden 2.54, Fribourg 1.44.
- Sep 27: Fribourg 86, Zurich 60. Won. Odds: Fribourg 1.05, Zurich 7.25.
- Apr 22: Nyon 89, Fribourg 82. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 19: Fribourg 81, Nyon 93. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for Fribourg.
- Net rating difference of 22.7 — Helios VS −14.7 per 100 possessions, Fribourg +8.0.
- 153.3 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 155.5.
- 6th vs 3rd in the SB League Women standings.
- Different pace — Helios VS averaged 83.0 possessions per game, Fribourg 77.3.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| HEL moneyline | 9.50 | moved down 8.20 |
| FRI moneyline | 1.03 | moved up 1.05 |
| Total points | 154.5 | moved up 155.5 |
| HEL spread | +15.5 | +15.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
SB League Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 619 | 472 | +147 | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 624 | 453 | +171 | |
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 515 | 423 | +92 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 516 | 429 | +87 | |
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 498 | 570 | −72 | |
| 6 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 561 | 609 | −48 | |
| 7 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 402 | 482 | −80 | |
| 8 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 362 | 423 | −61 | |
| 9 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 335 | 571 | −236 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Helios VS host Fribourg in the SB League Women on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.