Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Virtus Bologna prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 72%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 173 Margin HTA by 3 Win HTA 61% Actual 171 · HTA won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Virtus Bologna
Last 15 games each with full stats · all competitions
Hapoel Tel Aviv at home, last 9 games · Virtus Bologna away, last 9
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Hapoel Tel Aviv 2, Virtus Bologna 0.
- Average total 176.5 points per meeting
- Over 178.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting HTA by 18 Mar 19, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 19, 2026 EuroLeague Hapoel Tel-Aviv 109–91 Virtus Bologna 200 pts
- Dec 12, 2025 EuroLeague Virtus Bologna 74–79 Hapoel Tel Aviv 153 pts
Last five games
- Oct 18: Hapoel Tel Aviv 81, Maccabi Ashdod 67. Won. Odds: Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.03, Maccabi Ashdod 9.50.
- Oct 16: Panathinaikos 81, Hapoel Tel Aviv 91. Won. Odds: Panathinaikos 1.19, Hapoel Tel Aviv 4.20.
- Oct 14: Hapoel Tel Aviv 100, Besiktas 82. Won. Odds: Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.35, Besiktas 3.16.
- Oct 11: Hapoel Beer Sheva 82, Hapoel Tel Aviv 95. Won. Odds: Hapoel Beer Sheva 6.33, Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.10.
- Oct 8: Valencia 93, Hapoel Tel Aviv 82. Lost. Odds: Valencia 1.68, Hapoel Tel Aviv 2.20.
- Oct 18: Virtus Bologna 108, Scafati 83. Won. Odds: Virtus Bologna 1.08, Scafati 6.20.
- Oct 16: Virtus Bologna 86, Baskonia 78. Won. Odds: Virtus Bologna 1.48, Baskonia 2.45.
- Oct 14: Paris 94, Virtus Bologna 96. Won. Odds: Paris 1.65, Virtus Bologna 2.07.
- Oct 11: Venezia 86, Virtus Bologna 93. Won. Odds: Venezia 1.75, Virtus Bologna 1.90.
- Oct 8: Bayern 87, Virtus Bologna 94. Won. Odds: Bayern 1.41, Virtus Bologna 2.92.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 7-game winning streak for Virtus Bologna coming into this game.
- 4-game winning streak for Hapoel Tel Aviv coming into this game.
- 4-1 at home for Hapoel Tel Aviv this season.
- Over/under moved up from 173.5 to 178.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 6.5 — Hapoel Tel Aviv +9.3 per 100 possessions, Virtus Bologna +2.8.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| HTA moneyline | 1.23 | moved up 1.27 |
| VIR moneyline | 3.70 | moved down 3.30 |
| Total points | 173.5 | moved up 178.5 |
| HTA spread | −8.5 | moved up −7.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
EuroLeague standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 761 | 675 | +86 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 790 | 739 | +51 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 763 | 683 | +80 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 866 | 792 | +74 | |
| 5 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 867 | 806 | +61 | |
| 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 831 | 786 | +45 | |
| 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 719 | 689 | +30 | |
| 8 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 809 | 784 | +25 | |
| 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 787 | 766 | +21 | |
| 10 | 9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 773 | 756 | +17 | |
| 11 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 810 | 826 | −16 | |
| 12 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 696 | 715 | −19 | |
| 13 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 781 | 802 | −21 | |
| 14 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 752 | 776 | −24 | |
| 15 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 788 | 831 | −43 | |
| 16 | 9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 795 | 836 | −41 | |
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 7 | .222 | 780 | 852 | −72 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | .222 | 769 | 850 | −81 | |
| 19 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 738 | 812 | −74 | |
| 20 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 748 | 847 | −99 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Hapoel Tel Aviv host Virtus Bologna in the EuroLeague on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.