Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Real Madrid prediction
Hapoel Tel Aviv
29
34
12
27
Real Madrid
20
23
32
23
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 57%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Hapoel Tel Aviv10289Real Madrid9891Hapoel Tel Aviv10289Real Madrid9891Total 180 Margin REA by 2 Win REA 55% Actual 200 · HTA won
Hapoel Tel Aviv
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Real Madrid
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Real Madrid
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Real Madrid
Last 15 games each with full stats · all competitions
Hapoel Tel Aviv at home, last 9 games · Real Madrid away, last 8
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Hapoel Tel Aviv 1, Real Madrid 4.
- Average total 166.6 points per meeting
- Over 174.5 2 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting REA by 6 May 7, 2026
Meetings
- May 7, 2026 EuroLeague Hapoel Tel Aviv 81–87 Real Madrid 168 pts
- May 5, 2026 EuroLeague Hapoel Tel Aviv 76–69 Real Madrid 145 pts
- May 1, 2026 EuroLeague Real Madrid 102–75 Hapoel Tel Aviv 177 pts
- Apr 29, 2026 EuroLeague Real Madrid 86–82 Hapoel Tel Aviv 168 pts
- Mar 24, 2026 EuroLeague Real Madrid 92–83 Hapoel Tel-Aviv 175 pts
Last five games
Hapoel Tel Aviv
3-2 - Sep 29: Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 80, Hapoel Tel Aviv 81. Won. Odds: Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 1.69, Hapoel Tel Aviv 2.18.
- Sep 26: Hapoel Tel Aviv 85, Hapoel Beer Sheva 67. Won. Odds: Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.06, Hapoel Beer Sheva 7.71.
- Sep 24: Hapoel Tel Aviv 84, Bayern 86. Lost. Odds: Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.33, Bayern 3.29.
- Jun 23: Hapoel Tel Aviv 79, Maccabi Tel Aviv 83. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 21: Maccabi Tel Aviv 74, Hapoel Tel Aviv 80. Won. No odds on record.
Real Madrid
2-3 - Sep 29: Anadolu Efes 94, Real Madrid 84. Lost. Odds: Anadolu Efes 1.99, Real Madrid 1.83.
- Sep 27: Real Madrid 89, Unicaja 87. Won. Odds: Real Madrid 1.16, Unicaja 4.91.
- Sep 24: Dubai 78, Real Madrid 77. Lost. Odds: Dubai 1.63, Real Madrid 2.27.
- Jun 6: Real Madrid 95, Tenerife 107. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 4: Tenerife 83, Real Madrid 118. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Real Madrid dropped from 1.85 to 1.57 since they were first published.
- 4-1 at home for Hapoel Tel Aviv this season.
- Over/under moved down from 176.5 to 174.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 9.2 — Hapoel Tel Aviv +9.3 per 100 possessions, Real Madrid +18.5.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Real Madrid.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| HTA moneyline | 1.87 | moved up 2.40 |
| REA moneyline | 1.85 | moved down 1.57 |
| Total points | 176.5 | moved down 174.5 |
| HTA spread | +1 | moved up +3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
EuroLeague standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos |
9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 761 | 675 | +86 |
| 2 |  Olympiacos |
9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 790 | 739 | +51 |
| 3 |  Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet |
9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 763 | 683 | +80 |
| 4 | Real Madrid |
9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 866 | 792 | +74 |
| 5 |  Valencia |
9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 867 | 806 | +61 |
| 6 | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 831 | 786 | +45 |
| 7 |  Fenerbahce |
9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 719 | 689 | +30 |
| 8 |  Barcelona |
9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 809 | 784 | +25 |
| 9 |  Dubai |
9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 787 | 766 | +21 |
| 10 |  Zalgiris Kaunas |
9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 773 | 756 | +17 |
| 11 |  Besiktas |
9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 810 | 826 | −16 |
| 12 |  Partizan Mozzart Bet |
9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 696 | 715 | −19 |
| 13 |  Virtus Bologna |
9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 781 | 802 | −21 |
| 14 |  Anadolu Efes |
9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 752 | 776 | −24 |
| 15 |  Lyon-Villeurbanne |
9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 788 | 831 | −43 |
| 16 |  Paris |
9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 795 | 836 | −41 |
| 17 |  Maccabi Tel Aviv |
9 | 2 | 7 | .222 | 780 | 852 | −72 |
| 18 |  Bayern |
9 | 2 | 7 | .222 | 769 | 850 | −81 |
| 19 |  Olimpia Milano |
9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 738 | 812 | −74 |
| 20 |  Baskonia |
9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 748 | 847 | −99 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Hapoel Tel Aviv host Real Madrid in the EuroLeague on Thursday, October 1, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.