Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Jerusalem prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 164 Win HAP 51% Actual 130 · HAP won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Jerusalem
Last 15 and 12 games with full stats · all competitions
Hapoel Tel Aviv at home, last 9 games · Hapoel Jerusalem away, last 7
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Hapoel Tel Aviv 3, Hapoel Jerusalem 2.
- Average total 145.6 points per meeting
- Over 166.5 4 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting HTA by 8 Jun 11, 2026
Meetings
- Jun 11, 2026 Super League Hapoel Tel Aviv 89–81 Hapoel Jerusalem 170 pts
- Jun 9, 2026 Super League Hapoel Jerusalem 84–88 Hapoel Tel Aviv 172 pts
- Jun 7, 2026 Super League Hapoel Tel Aviv 20–1 Hapoel Jerusalem 21 pts
- Feb 8, 2026 Super League Hapoel Jerusalem 105–91 Hapoel Tel Aviv 196 pts
- Jan 3, 2026 Super League Hapoel Tel Aviv 77–92 Hapoel Jerusalem 169 pts
Last five games
- Oct 21: Hapoel Tel Aviv 90, Virtus Bologna 81. Won. Odds: Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.27, Virtus Bologna 3.30.
- Oct 18: Hapoel Tel Aviv 81, Maccabi Ashdod 67. Won. Odds: Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.03, Maccabi Ashdod 9.50.
- Oct 16: Panathinaikos 81, Hapoel Tel Aviv 91. Won. Odds: Panathinaikos 1.19, Hapoel Tel Aviv 4.20.
- Oct 14: Hapoel Tel Aviv 100, Besiktas 82. Won. Odds: Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.35, Besiktas 3.16.
- Oct 11: Hapoel Beer Sheva 82, Hapoel Tel Aviv 95. Won. Odds: Hapoel Beer Sheva 6.33, Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.10.
- Oct 21: Hapoel Jerusalem 100, Rigas Zelli 64. Won. Odds: Hapoel Jerusalem 1.02, Rigas Zelli 10.50.
- Oct 17: Hapoel Jerusalem 88, Hapoel Beer Sheva 74. Won. Odds: Hapoel Jerusalem 1.06, Hapoel Beer Sheva 4.60.
- Oct 14: San Pablo Burgos 84, Hapoel Jerusalem 85. Won. Odds: San Pablo Burgos 2.81, Hapoel Jerusalem 1.41.
- Oct 11: Hapoel Holon 69, Hapoel Jerusalem 92. Won. Odds: Hapoel Holon 2.95, Hapoel Jerusalem 1.37.
- Oct 6: Cedevita Olimpija 64, Hapoel Jerusalem 75. Won. Odds: Cedevita Olimpija 2.54, Hapoel Jerusalem 1.48.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-game winning streak for Hapoel Tel Aviv coming into this game.
- 5-game winning streak for Hapoel Jerusalem coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 8.7 — Hapoel Tel Aviv +9.3 per 100 possessions, Hapoel Jerusalem +18.0.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Hapoel Tel Aviv.
- 145.6 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 166.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| HTA moneyline | 1.45 | moved up 1.48 |
| HAP moneyline | 2.50 | moved up 2.55 |
| Total points | 167.5 | moved down 166.5 |
| HTA spread | −4.5 | −4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Super League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 338 | 281 | +57 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 366 | 348 | +18 | |
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 326 | 275 | +51 | |
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 236 | 219 | +17 | |
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 274 | 287 | −13 | |
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 338 | 333 | +5 | |
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 365 | 375 | −10 | |
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 360 | 378 | −18 | |
| 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 236 | 245 | −9 | |
| 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 209 | 220 | −11 | |
| 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 229 | 245 | −16 | |
| 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 233 | 259 | −26 | |
| 13 | Hapoel HaEmek | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 308 | 310 | −2 |
| 14 | 3 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 231 | 274 | −43 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
- Play Out
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Hapoel Tel Aviv host Hapoel Jerusalem in the Super League on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.