Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Beer Sheva prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 77%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 166 Margin HAP by 20 Win HAP 92% Actual 162 · HAP won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
Last 12 and 7 games with full stats · all competitions
Hapoel Jerusalem at home, last 5 games · Hapoel Beer Sheva away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Hapoel Jerusalem 3, Hapoel Beer Sheva 1.
- Average total 168.8 points per meeting
- Over 169.5 1 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting HAP by 14 Sep 18, 2026
Meetings
- Sep 18, 2026 League Cup Hapoel Jerusalem 83–69 Hapoel Beer Sheva 152 pts
- May 20, 2026 Super League Hapoel Jerusalem 103–87 Hapoel Beer Sheva 190 pts
- Dec 21, 2025 Super League Hapoel Beer Sheva 90–75 Hapoel Jerusalem 165 pts
- Sep 17, 2025 League Cup Hapoel Beer Sheva 76–92 Hapoel Jerusalem 168 pts
Last five games
- Oct 14: San Pablo Burgos 84, Hapoel Jerusalem 85. Won. Odds: San Pablo Burgos 2.81, Hapoel Jerusalem 1.41.
- Oct 11: Hapoel Holon 69, Hapoel Jerusalem 92. Won. Odds: Hapoel Holon 2.95, Hapoel Jerusalem 1.37.
- Oct 6: Cedevita Olimpija 64, Hapoel Jerusalem 75. Won. Odds: Cedevita Olimpija 2.54, Hapoel Jerusalem 1.48.
- Oct 4: Maccabi Tel Aviv 88, Hapoel Jerusalem 71. Lost. Odds: Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.41, Hapoel Jerusalem 2.76.
- Sep 29: Hapoel Jerusalem 94, Rostock 73. Won. Odds: Hapoel Jerusalem 1.09, Rostock 6.87.
- Oct 11: Hapoel Beer Sheva 82, Hapoel Tel Aviv 95. Lost. Odds: Hapoel Beer Sheva 6.33, Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.10.
- Sep 26: Hapoel Tel Aviv 85, Hapoel Beer Sheva 67. Lost. Odds: Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.06, Hapoel Beer Sheva 7.71.
- Sep 22: Maccabi Rishon 75, Hapoel Beer Sheva 84. Won. Odds: Maccabi Rishon 1.60, Hapoel Beer Sheva 2.25.
- Sep 18: Hapoel Jerusalem 83, Hapoel Beer Sheva 69. Lost. Odds: Hapoel Jerusalem 1.05, Hapoel Beer Sheva 8.66.
- Sep 15: Hapoel Beer Sheva 103, Maccabi Ashdod 101. After overtime. Won. Odds: Hapoel Beer Sheva 1.72, Maccabi Ashdod 1.98.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Hapoel Jerusalem coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Hapoel Beer Sheva dropped from 6.00 to 4.60 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Hapoel Beer Sheva, 2 for Hapoel Jerusalem.
- Over/under moved down from 173.5 to 169.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 30.4 — Hapoel Jerusalem +18.0 per 100 possessions, Hapoel Beer Sheva −12.4.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| HAP moneyline | 1.10 | moved down 1.06 |
| HBS moneyline | 6.00 | moved down 4.60 |
| Total points | 173.5 | moved down 169.5 |
| HAP spread | −13.5 | moved down −14.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Super League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 338 | 281 | +57 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 366 | 348 | +18 | |
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 326 | 275 | +51 | |
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 236 | 219 | +17 | |
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 274 | 287 | −13 | |
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 338 | 333 | +5 | |
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 365 | 375 | −10 | |
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 360 | 378 | −18 | |
| 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 236 | 245 | −9 | |
| 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 209 | 220 | −11 | |
| 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 229 | 245 | −16 | |
| 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 233 | 259 | −26 | |
| 13 | Hapoel HaEmek | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 308 | 310 | −2 |
| 14 | 3 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 231 | 274 | −43 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
- Play Out
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Hapoel Jerusalem host Hapoel Beer Sheva in the Super League on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.