Hapoel Holon vs Hapoel Jerusalem prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 73%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 162 Margin HAP by 6 Win HAP 67% Actual 161 · HAP won
Hapoel Holon vs Hapoel Jerusalem
Last 9 and 12 games with full stats · all competitions
Hapoel Holon at home, last 5 games · Hapoel Jerusalem away, last 7
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Hapoel Holon 2, Hapoel Jerusalem 0.
- Average total 176.5 points per meeting
- Over 168.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting HAP by 8 Apr 29, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 29, 2026 Super League Hapoel Jerusalem 95–103 OT Hapoel Holon 198 pts · OT
- Oct 18, 2025 Super League Hapoel Holon 78–77 Hapoel Jerusalem 155 pts
Last five games
- Oct 6: Hapoel Holon 79, Cholet 99. Lost. Odds: Hapoel Holon 2.85, Cholet 1.40.
- Sep 30: Hapoel Holon 87, Ironi Eilat 85. Won. Odds: Hapoel Holon 1.49, Ironi Eilat 2.49.
- Sep 23: Hapoel Holon 83, Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan 80. Won. Odds: Hapoel Holon 1.44, Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan 2.66.
- Sep 15: Hapoel Holon 79, Ironi Kiryat Ata 83. Lost. Odds: Hapoel Holon 1.37, Ironi Kiryat Ata 2.76.
- Sep 10: Nes Ziona 77, Hapoel Holon 72. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 6: Cedevita Olimpija 64, Hapoel Jerusalem 75. Won. Odds: Cedevita Olimpija 2.54, Hapoel Jerusalem 1.48.
- Oct 4: Maccabi Tel Aviv 88, Hapoel Jerusalem 71. Lost. Odds: Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.41, Hapoel Jerusalem 2.76.
- Sep 29: Hapoel Jerusalem 94, Rostock 73. Won. Odds: Hapoel Jerusalem 1.09, Rostock 6.87.
- Sep 25: Hapoel Jerusalem 88, Bnei Herzliya 68. Won. Odds: Hapoel Jerusalem 1.19, Bnei Herzliya 4.43.
- Sep 18: Hapoel Jerusalem 83, Hapoel Beer Sheva 69. Won. Odds: Hapoel Jerusalem 1.05, Hapoel Beer Sheva 8.66.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Hapoel Jerusalem dropped from 1.74 to 1.37 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 21.4 — Hapoel Holon −3.4 per 100 possessions, Hapoel Jerusalem +18.0.
- 4-1 in the last five for Hapoel Jerusalem.
- 11th vs 1st in the Super League standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| HAP moneyline | 1.95 | moved up 2.95 |
| HAP moneyline | 1.74 | moved down 1.37 |
| Total points | 167.5 | moved up 168.5 |
| HAP spread | +2.5 | moved up +5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Super League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 338 | 281 | +57 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 366 | 348 | +18 | |
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 326 | 275 | +51 | |
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 236 | 219 | +17 | |
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 274 | 287 | −13 | |
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 338 | 333 | +5 | |
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 365 | 375 | −10 | |
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 360 | 378 | −18 | |
| 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 236 | 245 | −9 | |
| 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 209 | 220 | −11 | |
| 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 229 | 245 | −16 | |
| 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 233 | 259 | −26 | |
| 13 | Hapoel HaEmek | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 308 | 310 | −2 |
| 14 | 3 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 231 | 274 | −43 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
- Play Out
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Hapoel Holon host Hapoel Jerusalem in the Super League on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.