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Hapoel Holon vs Hapoel Jerusalem prediction

Super League Sunday, October 11, 2026Sun, Oct 11 Start13:55ET Round 1
Hapoel HolonHome · 1-2 · 11th · Moneyline odds up 2.95
691st quarter 152nd quarter 223rd quarter 144th quarter 18
Hapoel JerusalemAway · 4-0 · 1st · Moneyline odds down 1.37
921st quarter 162nd quarter 273rd quarter 244th quarter 25
By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Hapoel Holon 15 22 14 18
Hapoel Jerusalem 16 27 24 25
FT Holon Toto Arena · IsraelHolon Toto Arena · Round 1
Best tip of the game
Point spread Won
HAP +6.5 odds down 1.25 79% confidence
Hapoel Jerusalem +6.5 on the spread edge +7.0%
Best tip of the game Point spread · Won HAP +6.5 odds down 1.25 Hapoel Jerusalem +6.5 on the spread Confidence79% model 80.1% · market 73.1% edge +7.0%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 73%
Picks for this game
Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result
Moneyline 2 odds down 1.38 66.9% 55.9% +11.0% 67% Won
Total points U174.5 1.44 73.3% 65.4% +7.9% 73% Won
Point spread HAP +6.5 odds down 1.25 80.1% 73.1% +7.0% 79% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.

Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Hapoel Holon6978
Hapoel Jerusalem9284
Total 162 actual 161
Winning margin HAP by 6 actual HAP by 23
Chance to win HAP 67% HAP won
Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Hapoel Holon6978
Hapoel Jerusalem9284

Total 162 Margin HAP by 6 Win HAP 67% Actual 161 · HAP won

Hapoel Holon host Hapoel Jerusalem in the Super League on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.