Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 73%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 171 Margin HTA by 11 Win HTA 75% Actual 177 · HTA won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
Last 7 and 15 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Hapoel Beer Sheva 0, Hapoel Tel Aviv 4.
- Average total 183.8 points per meeting
- Over 169.5 3 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting HTA by 18 Sep 26, 2026
Meetings
- Sep 26, 2026 League Cup Hapoel Tel Aviv 85–67 Hapoel Beer Sheva 152 pts
- Jan 25, 2026 Super League Hapoel Tel Aviv 112–108 OT Hapoel Beer Sheva 220 pts · OT
- Dec 14, 2025 Super League Hapoel Beer Sheva 77–102 Hapoel Tel Aviv 179 pts
- Sep 25, 2025 League Cup Hapoel Tel Aviv 98–86 Hapoel Beer Sheva 184 pts
Last five games
- Sep 26: Hapoel Tel Aviv 85, Hapoel Beer Sheva 67. Lost. Odds: Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.06, Hapoel Beer Sheva 7.71.
- Sep 22: Maccabi Rishon 75, Hapoel Beer Sheva 84. Won. Odds: Maccabi Rishon 1.60, Hapoel Beer Sheva 2.25.
- Sep 18: Hapoel Jerusalem 83, Hapoel Beer Sheva 69. Lost. Odds: Hapoel Jerusalem 1.05, Hapoel Beer Sheva 8.66.
- Sep 15: Hapoel Beer Sheva 103, Maccabi Ashdod 101. After overtime. Won. Odds: Hapoel Beer Sheva 1.72, Maccabi Ashdod 1.98.
- Jun 3: Hapoel Beer Sheva 83, Maccabi Tel Aviv 108. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 8: Valencia 93, Hapoel Tel Aviv 82. Lost. Odds: Valencia 1.68, Hapoel Tel Aviv 2.20.
- Oct 3: Hapoel Tel Aviv 79, Nes Ziona 76. Won. Odds: Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.14, Nes Ziona 5.34.
- Oct 1: Hapoel Tel Aviv 102, Real Madrid 98. Won. Odds: Hapoel Tel Aviv 2.40, Real Madrid 1.57.
- Sep 29: Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 80, Hapoel Tel Aviv 81. Won. Odds: Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 1.69, Hapoel Tel Aviv 2.18.
- Sep 26: Hapoel Tel Aviv 85, Hapoel Beer Sheva 67. Won. Odds: Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.06, Hapoel Beer Sheva 7.71.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-0 in the last 4 meetings for Hapoel Tel Aviv.
- Net rating difference of 21.7 — Hapoel Beer Sheva −12.4 per 100 possessions, Hapoel Tel Aviv +9.3.
- 4-1 in the last five for Hapoel Tel Aviv.
- 183.8 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 169.5.
- 14th vs 4th in the Super League standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| HBS moneyline | 7.50 | moved down 6.33 |
| HTA moneyline | 1.07 | moved up 1.10 |
| Total points | 168.5 | moved up 169.5 |
| HBS spread | +14.5 | +14.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Super League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 338 | 281 | +57 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 366 | 348 | +18 | |
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 326 | 275 | +51 | |
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 236 | 219 | +17 | |
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 274 | 287 | −13 | |
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 338 | 333 | +5 | |
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 365 | 375 | −10 | |
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 360 | 378 | −18 | |
| 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 236 | 245 | −9 | |
| 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 209 | 220 | −11 | |
| 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 229 | 245 | −16 | |
| 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 233 | 259 | −26 | |
| 13 | Hapoel HaEmek | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 308 | 310 | −2 |
| 14 | 3 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 231 | 274 | −43 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
- Play Out
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Hapoel Beer Sheva host Hapoel Tel Aviv in the Super League on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.