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Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv prediction

Super League Sunday, October 11, 2026Sun, Oct 11 Start11:30ET Round 1
Hapoel Beer ShevaHome · 0-3 · 14th · Moneyline odds down 6.33
821st quarter 232nd quarter 123rd quarter 274th quarter 20
Hapoel Tel AvivAway · 2-1 · 4th · Moneyline odds up 1.10
951st quarter 242nd quarter 203rd quarter 204th quarter 31
By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Hapoel Beer Sheva 23 12 27 20
Hapoel Tel Aviv 24 20 20 31
FT Conch Arena · IsraelConch Arena · Round 1
Best tip of the game
Point spread Won
HBS +21.5 odds down 1.27 75% confidence
Hapoel Beer Sheva +21.5 on the spread edge +4.5%
Best tip of the game Point spread · Won HBS +21.5 odds down 1.27 Hapoel Beer Sheva +21.5 on the spread Confidence75% model 75.4% · market 70.9% edge +4.5%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 73%
Picks for this game
Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result
Moneyline 2 odds up 1.10 74.6% 86.2% −11.6% 74% Won
Total points O161.5 1.39 69.3% 66.0% +3.3% 69% Won
Point spread HBS +21.5 odds down 1.27 75.4% 70.9% +4.5% 75% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.

Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Hapoel Beer Sheva8280
Hapoel Tel Aviv9591
Total 171 actual 177
Winning margin HTA by 11 actual HTA by 13
Chance to win HTA 75% HTA won
Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Hapoel Beer Sheva8280
Hapoel Tel Aviv9591

Total 171 Margin HTA by 11 Win HTA 75% Actual 177 · HTA won

Hapoel Beer Sheva host Hapoel Tel Aviv in the Super League on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.