Hamburg vs Rostock prediction
Hamburg
13
19
19
33
Rostock
21
25
21
24
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 51%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Hamburg8488Rostock9183Hamburg8488Rostock9183Total 171 Margin HAM by 5 Win HAM 61% Actual 175 · ROS won
Hamburg
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Rostock
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Hamburg vs Rostock
Hamburg
Rostock
Last 8 and 13 games with full stats · all competitions
Hamburg at home, last 4 games · Rostock away, last 8
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Hamburg 2, Rostock 1.
- Average total 174.0 points per meeting
- Over 166.5 3 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting HAM by 9 Sep 11, 2026
Meetings
- Sep 11, 2026 German Cup Hamburg 90–81 Rostock 171 pts
- May 10, 2026 BBL Rostock 103–71 Hamburg 174 pts
- Apr 22, 2026 BBL Hamburg 91–86 OT Rostock 177 pts · OT
Last five games
Hamburg
2-3 - Sep 27: Oldenburg 75, Hamburg 74. Lost. Odds: Oldenburg 1.35, Hamburg 3.09.
- Sep 25: Hamburg 94, Chemnitz 90. After overtime. Won. Odds: Hamburg 2.05, Chemnitz 1.75.
- Sep 19: Bonn 96, Hamburg 72. Lost. Odds: Bonn 1.17, Hamburg 4.50.
- Sep 11: Hamburg 90, Rostock 81. Won. No odds on record.
- May 10: Rostock 103, Hamburg 71. Lost. No odds on record.
Rostock
1-4 - Sep 29: Hapoel Jerusalem 94, Rostock 73. Lost. Odds: Hapoel Jerusalem 1.09, Rostock 6.87.
- Sep 27: Basketball Braunschweig 83, Rostock 82. Lost. Odds: Basketball Braunschweig 2.42, Rostock 1.54.
- Sep 24: Ludwigsburg 81, Rostock 78. Lost. Odds: Ludwigsburg 1.83, Rostock 1.94.
- Sep 19: Rostock 102, Phoenix Hagen 92. Won. Odds: Rostock 1.17, Phoenix Hagen 4.50.
- Sep 11: Hamburg 90, Rostock 81. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Rostock coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Hamburg, 3 for Rostock.
- Net rating difference of 10.6 — Hamburg −13.2 per 100 possessions, Rostock −2.6.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Hamburg.
- 174.0 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 166.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| HAM moneyline | 1.76 | moved up 1.95 |
| ROS moneyline | 1.96 | moved down 1.82 |
| Total points | 166.5 | 166.5 |
| HAM spread | +1.5 | +1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
BBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 566 | 422 | +144 |
| 2 |  Trier |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 597 | 524 | +73 |
| 3 |  Frankfurt |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 451 | 423 | +28 |
| 4 |  Syntainics MBC |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 507 | 479 | +28 |
| 5 |  Ludwigsburg |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 610 | 614 | −4 |
| 6 |  Wurzburg |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 497 | 481 | +16 |
| 7 |  Bamberg |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 616 | 594 | +22 |
| 8 | Rostock |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 621 | 572 | +49 |
| 9 |  Bonn |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 512 | 485 | +27 |
| 10 |  Basketball Braunschweig |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 535 | 567 | −32 |
| 11 |  Alba Berlin |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 500 | 535 | −35 |
| 12 |  Ulm |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 573 | 594 | −21 |
| 13 |  Oldenburg |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 521 | 584 | −63 |
| 14 |  Jena |
7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 536 | 618 | −82 |
| 15 |  Vechta |
7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 591 | 636 | −45 |
| 16 |  Chemnitz |
7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 607 | 621 | −14 |
| 17 |  Phoenix Hagen |
7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 600 | 633 | −33 |
| 18 | Hamburg |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 479 | 537 | −58 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
- Relegation - Pro A
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Hamburg host Rostock in the BBL on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.