Hamburg vs Chemnitz Prediction & Odds

BBL Friday, September 25, 2026Fri, Sep 25 Start14:00ET Round 2

HamburgHome · 1-5 · 18th · 2.05

942220152611

ChemnitzAway · 2-5 · 16th · 1.75

90222117237

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th OT

Hamburg 22 20 15 26 11

Chemnitz 22 21 17 23 7

AOT Edel-optics.de Arena · GermanyEdel-optics.de Arena · Round 2

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 2.05 63%

Hamburg to win edge +6.5%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 2.05 Hamburg to win Confidence63% model 56.2% · market 49.7% edge +6.5%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 58%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 2.05 56.2% 49.7% +6.5% 63% Won

Total points O167.5 1.85 53.5% 50.0% +3.5% 57% Won

Point spread HAM -1.5 1.82 52.2% 50.0% +2.2% 55% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Hamburg9486

Chemnitz9083

Total 169 actual 184

Winning margin HAM by 3 actual HAM by 4

Chance to win HAM 56% HAM won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Hamburg9486

Chemnitz9083

Total 169 Margin HAM by 3 Win HAM 56% Actual 184 · HAM won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 19+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Hamburg large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Chemnitz

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Hamburg vs Chemnitz

Hamburg Chemnitz

Last 8 and 13 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Hamburg 1-4

Sep 19: Bonn 96, Hamburg 72. Lost. Odds: Bonn 1.17, Hamburg 4.50.
Sep 11: Hamburg 90, Rostock 81. Won. No odds on record.
May 10: Rostock 103, Hamburg 71. Lost. No odds on record.
May 7: Hamburg 73, Wurzburg 90. Lost. No odds on record.
May 3: Bamberg 85, Hamburg 71. Lost. No odds on record.

Chemnitz 3-2

Sep 18: Alba Berlin 89, Chemnitz 82. Lost. Odds: Alba Berlin 1.30, Chemnitz 3.32.
Sep 12: Giessen 70, Chemnitz 77. Won. No odds on record.
May 10: Basketball Braunschweig 104, Chemnitz 90. Lost. No odds on record.
May 7: Chemnitz 86, Frankfurt 82. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
May 3: Alba Berlin 82, Chemnitz 84. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
HAM moneyline	1.76	moved up 2.05
CHE moneyline	1.96	moved down 1.75
Total points	167.5	167.5
HAM spread	−1.5	moved up +1.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

BBL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Bayern	6	5	1	11	566	422	+144
2	Trier	6	5	1	11	597	524	+73
3	Frankfurt	5	4	1	9	451	423	+28
4	Syntainics MBC	6	4	2	10	507	479	+28
5	Ludwigsburg	7	4	3	11	610	614	−4
6	Wurzburg	6	4	2	10	497	481	+16
7	Bamberg	7	4	3	11	616	594	+22
8	Rostock	7	4	3	11	621	572	+49
9	Bonn	6	3	3	9	512	485	+27
10	Basketball Braunschweig	6	3	3	9	535	567	−32
11	Alba Berlin	6	3	3	9	500	535	−35
12	Ulm	7	3	4	10	573	594	−21
13	Oldenburg	7	3	4	10	521	584	−63
14	Jena	7	2	5	9	536	618	−82
15	Vechta	7	2	5	9	591	636	−45
16	Chemnitz	7	2	5	9	607	621	−14
17	Phoenix Hagen	7	2	5	9	600	633	−33
18	Hamburg	6	1	5	7	479	537	−58

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Play-in
Relegation - Pro A

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Hamburg host Chemnitz in the BBL on Friday, September 25, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.