Hamburg vs Bayern prediction
Hamburg
18
12
15
18
Bayern
14
28
24
19
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 73%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Hamburg6382Bayern8590Hamburg6382Bayern8590Total 172 Margin BAY by 8 Win BAY 68% Actual 148 · BAY won
Hamburg
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Bayern
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Hamburg vs Bayern
Hamburg
Bayern
Last 8 and 16 games with full stats · all competitions
Hamburg at home, last 4 games · Bayern away, last 8
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Hamburg 1, Bayern 2.
- Average total 175.0 points per meeting
- Over 171.5 3 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting BAY by 19 Oct 25, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 25, 2026 BBL Bayern 96–77 Hamburg 173 pts
- Mar 29, 2026 BBL Hamburg 96–81 Bayern 177 pts
- Oct 5, 2025 BBL Bayern 96–79 Hamburg 175 pts
Last five games
Hamburg
1-4 - Oct 11: Frankfurt 89, Hamburg 78. Lost. Odds: Frankfurt 1.37, Hamburg 2.95.
- Oct 3: Hamburg 84, Rostock 91. Lost. Odds: Hamburg 1.95, Rostock 1.82.
- Sep 27: Oldenburg 75, Hamburg 74. Lost. Odds: Oldenburg 1.35, Hamburg 3.09.
- Sep 25: Hamburg 94, Chemnitz 90. After overtime. Won. Odds: Hamburg 2.05, Chemnitz 1.75.
- Sep 19: Bonn 96, Hamburg 72. Lost. Odds: Bonn 1.17, Hamburg 4.50.
Bayern
3-2 - Oct 16: Besiktas 95, Bayern 87. Lost. Odds: Besiktas 1.61, Bayern 2.31.
- Oct 14: Anadolu Efes 93, Bayern 101. Won. Odds: Anadolu Efes 1.45, Bayern 2.75.
- Oct 10: Chemnitz 83, Bayern 87. Won. Odds: Chemnitz 10.50, Bayern 1.03.
- Oct 8: Bayern 87, Virtus Bologna 94. Lost. Odds: Bayern 1.41, Virtus Bologna 2.92.
- Oct 4: Bayern 113, Oldenburg 60. Won. Odds: Bayern 1.10, Oldenburg 6.45.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Hamburg coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Bayern dropped from 1.15 to 1.05 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Hamburg, 1 for Bayern.
- Net rating difference of 17.6 — Hamburg −13.2 per 100 possessions, Bayern +4.4.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Bayern.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| HAM moneyline | 4.75 | moved up 8.75 |
| BAY moneyline | 1.15 | moved down 1.05 |
| Total points | 171.5 | 171.5 |
| HAM spread | +10.5 | moved up +16.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
German Cup standings
Regular Season · Group D
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern |
3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 266 | 218 | +48 |
| 2 |  Syntainics MBC |
3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 282 | 305 | −23 |
| 3 |  Crailsheim Merlins |
3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 238 | 256 | −18 |
| 4 |  Bayreuth |
3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 286 | 293 | −7 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Hamburg host Bayern in the German Cup on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.