Guangzhou vs Shanxi Zhongyu Prediction & Odds

CBA Friday, October 30, 2026Fri, Oct 30 Start07:35ET Round 6

GuangzhouHome · 4-3 · 8th · 2.30

9323153223

Shanxi ZhongyuAway · 5-2 · 5th · 1.56

11323313425

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Guangzhou 23 15 32 23

Shanxi Zhongyu 23 31 34 25

FT Tianhe Gymnasium · ChinaTianhe Gymnasium · Round 6

Best tip of the game

Total points Won

O182.5 1.74 79%

Over 182.5 points edge +13.2%

Best tip of the game Total points · Won O182.5 1.74 Over 182.5 points Confidence79% model 64.4% · market 51.2% edge +13.2%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 67%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 2.30 50.0% 27.4% +22.6% 51% Lost

Total points O182.5 1.74 64.4% 51.2% +13.2% 79% Won

Point spread GUA +5.5 1.77 67.5% 48.8% +18.7% 72% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Guangzhou9397

Shanxi Zhongyu11392

Total 189 actual 206

Winning margin GUA by 5 actual SHA by 20

Chance to win GUA 65% SHA won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Guangzhou9397

Shanxi Zhongyu11392

Total 189 Margin GUA by 5 Win GUA 65% Actual 206 · SHA won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 5+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Guangzhou large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Shanxi Zhongyu

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Guangzhou vs Shanxi Zhongyu

Guangzhou Shanxi Zhongyu

Last 7 games each with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Guangzhou 3-2

Oct 27: Guangzhou 91, Beijing Royal Fighters 90. After overtime. Won. Odds: Guangzhou 2.75, Beijing Royal Fighters 1.40.
Oct 25: Beijing 117, Guangzhou 73. Lost. Odds: Beijing 1.01, Guangzhou 16.00.
Oct 23: Tianjin 102, Guangzhou 86. Lost. Odds: Tianjin 2.75, Guangzhou 1.40.
Oct 20: Nanjing Tongxi 81, Guangzhou 114. Won. Odds: Nanjing Tongxi 1.54, Guangzhou 2.35.
Oct 18: Guangzhou 90, Zhejiang Chouzhou 79. Won. Odds: Guangzhou 2.62, Zhejiang Chouzhou 1.29.

Shanxi Zhongyu 3-2

Oct 28: Shenzhen 95, Shanxi Zhongyu 83. Lost. Odds: Shenzhen 5.75, Shanxi Zhongyu 1.12.
Oct 25: Shanxi Zhongyu 101, Jiangsu Dragons 79. Won. Odds: Shanxi Zhongyu 1.02, Jiangsu Dragons 10.50.
Oct 22: Shanxi Zhongyu 103, Shanghai 92. Won. Odds: Shanxi Zhongyu 2.85, Shanghai 1.37.
Oct 20: Ningbo Rockets 73, Shanxi Zhongyu 103. Won. Odds: Ningbo Rockets 7.50, Shanxi Zhongyu 1.07.
Oct 17: Zhejiang Guangsha 115, Shanxi Zhongyu 109. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Zhejiang Guangsha 2.32, Shanxi Zhongyu 1.37.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
GUA moneyline	3.40	moved down 2.30
SHA moneyline	1.28	moved up 1.56
Total points	183.5	183.5
GUA spread	+5.5	+5.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

CBA standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Beijing	7	7	0	14	739	549	+190
2	Shanghai	7	6	1	13	680	604	+76
3	Liaoning	7	6	1	13	676	609	+67
4	Beijing Royal Fighters	7	5	2	12	694	567	+127
5	Shanxi Zhongyu	7	5	2	12	707	636	+71
6	Zhejiang Chouzhou	7	5	2	12	579	519	+60
7	Zhejiang Guangsha	7	4	3	11	634	671	−37
8	Guangzhou	7	4	3	11	637	661	−24
9	Fujian	7	4	3	11	642	618	+24
10	Shandong	7	3	4	10	637	655	−18
11	Jilin	7	3	4	10	586	587	−1
12	Shenzhen	7	3	4	10	537	661	−124
13	Xinjiang	7	3	4	10	602	629	−27
14	Guangdong	7	3	4	10	600	611	−11
15	Qingdao	7	2	5	9	620	637	−17
16	Sichuan	7	2	5	9	564	669	−105
17	Nanjing Tongxi	7	2	5	9	612	681	−69
18	Tianjin	7	2	5	9	649	665	−16
19	Jiangsu Dragons	7	1	6	8	557	602	−45
20	Ningbo Rockets	7	0	7	7	545	666	−121

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Guangzhou host Shanxi Zhongyu in the CBA on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.