Guangzhou vs Beijing Royal Fighters prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 181 Margin GUA by 5 Win GUA 60% Actual 181 · GUA won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Guangzhou vs Beijing Royal Fighters
Last 7 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Guangzhou 1, Beijing Royal Fighters 1.
- Average total 178.0 points per meeting
- Over 181.5 0 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting BRF by 1 Apr 1, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 1, 2026 CBA Beijing Royal Fighters 89–88 Guangzhou 177 pts
- Jan 19, 2026 CBA Guangzhou 104–75 Beijing Royal Fighters 179 pts
Last five games
- Oct 25: Beijing 117, Guangzhou 73. Lost. Odds: Beijing 1.01, Guangzhou 16.00.
- Oct 23: Tianjin 102, Guangzhou 86. Lost. Odds: Tianjin 2.75, Guangzhou 1.40.
- Oct 20: Nanjing Tongxi 81, Guangzhou 114. Won. Odds: Nanjing Tongxi 1.54, Guangzhou 2.35.
- Oct 18: Guangzhou 90, Zhejiang Chouzhou 79. Won. Odds: Guangzhou 2.62, Zhejiang Chouzhou 1.29.
- May 3: Guangdong 90, Guangzhou 80. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 25: Shenzhen 70, Beijing Royal Fighters 103. Won. Odds: Shenzhen 1.41, Beijing Royal Fighters 2.72.
- Oct 23: Beijing Royal Fighters 93, Jiangsu Dragons 82. Won. Odds: Beijing Royal Fighters 1.11, Jiangsu Dragons 6.25.
- Oct 19: Beijing Royal Fighters 92, Shanghai 105. Lost. Odds: Beijing Royal Fighters 3.25, Shanghai 1.30.
- Oct 17: Ningbo Rockets 71, Beijing Royal Fighters 95. Won. Odds: Ningbo Rockets 4.05, Beijing Royal Fighters 1.10.
- Sep 26: Beijing Royal Fighters 101, Shanghai 87. Won. Odds: Beijing Royal Fighters 1.62, Shanghai 2.15.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Guangzhou dropped from 6.75 to 2.75 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 21.9 — Guangzhou −5.4 per 100 possessions, Beijing Royal Fighters +16.5.
- 4-1 in the last five for Beijing Royal Fighters.
- 8th vs 4th in the CBA standings.
- Different pace — Guangzhou averaged 84.0 possessions per game, Beijing Royal Fighters 77.8.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| GUA moneyline | 6.75 | moved down 2.75 |
| BRF moneyline | 1.09 | moved up 1.40 |
| Total points | 182.5 | moved down 181.5 |
| GUA spread | +10.5 | moved down +6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
CBA standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 739 | 549 | +190 | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 680 | 604 | +76 | |
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 676 | 609 | +67 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 694 | 567 | +127 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 707 | 636 | +71 | |
| 6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 579 | 519 | +60 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 634 | 671 | −37 | |
| 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 637 | 661 | −24 | |
| 9 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 642 | 618 | +24 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 637 | 655 | −18 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 586 | 587 | −1 | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 537 | 661 | −124 | |
| 13 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 602 | 629 | −27 | |
| 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 600 | 611 | −11 | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 620 | 637 | −17 | |
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 564 | 669 | −105 | |
| 17 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 612 | 681 | −69 | |
| 18 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 649 | 665 | −16 | |
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 557 | 602 | −45 | |
| 20 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 545 | 666 | −121 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Guangzhou host Beijing Royal Fighters in the CBA on Tuesday, October 27, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.