Guangdong vs Jiangsu Dragons Prediction & Odds

CBA Thursday, October 29, 2026Thu, Oct 29 Start07:35ET Round 6

GuangdongHome · 3-4 · 14th · 1.28

8221241819

Jiangsu DragonsAway · 1-6 · 19th · 3.40

8020251817

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Guangdong 21 24 18 19

Jiangsu Dragons 20 25 18 17

FT Dongguan Basketball Center · ChinaDongguan Basketball Center · Round 6

Best tip of the game

Total points Won

U182.5 1.43 78%

Under 182.5 points edge +0.4%

Best tip of the game Total points · Won U182.5 1.43 Under 182.5 points Confidence78% model 64.0% · market 63.6% edge +0.4%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 60%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.28 49.4% 72.6% −23.2% 51% Won

Total points U182.5 1.43 64.0% 63.6% +0.4% 78% Won

Point spread JIA +8.5 1.63 48.2% 55.9% −7.7% 51% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Guangdong8287

Jiangsu Dragons8084

Total 171 actual 162

Winning margin GUA by 3 actual GUA by 2

Chance to win GUA 59% GUA won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Guangdong8287

Jiangsu Dragons8084

Total 171 Margin GUA by 3 Win GUA 59% Actual 162 · GUA won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 5+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Guangdong large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Jiangsu Dragons

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Guangdong vs Jiangsu Dragons

Guangdong Jiangsu Dragons

Last 7 games each with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Guangdong 2-3

Oct 26: Shanghai 99, Guangdong 87. Lost. Odds: Shanghai 1.02, Guangdong 10.50.
Oct 24: Guangdong 86, Ningbo Rockets 77. Won. Odds: Guangdong 1.03, Ningbo Rockets 9.30.
Oct 22: Guangdong 96, Zhejiang Guangsha 78. Won. Odds: Guangdong 1.74, Zhejiang Guangsha 1.95.
Oct 20: Beijing 96, Guangdong 78. Lost. Odds: Beijing 1.14, Guangdong 5.00.
Oct 18: Nanjing Tongxi 96, Guangdong 95. Lost. Odds: Nanjing Tongxi 2.62, Guangdong 1.29.

Jiangsu Dragons 1-4

Oct 27: Jiangsu Dragons 88, Fujian 78. Won. Odds: Jiangsu Dragons 1.50, Fujian 2.50.
Oct 25: Shanxi Zhongyu 101, Jiangsu Dragons 79. Lost. Odds: Shanxi Zhongyu 1.02, Jiangsu Dragons 10.50.
Oct 23: Beijing Royal Fighters 93, Jiangsu Dragons 82. Lost. Odds: Beijing Royal Fighters 1.11, Jiangsu Dragons 6.25.
Oct 19: Jiangsu Dragons 81, Shenzhen 89. Lost. Odds: Jiangsu Dragons 5.00, Shenzhen 1.14.
Oct 17: Jiangsu Dragons 85, Fujian 89. Lost. Odds: Jiangsu Dragons 1.35, Fujian 2.40.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
GUA moneyline	1.28	1.28
JIA moneyline	3.40	3.40
Total points	175.5	moved down 172.5
GUA spread	−7.5	moved down −11.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

CBA standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Beijing	7	7	0	14	739	549	+190
2	Shanghai	7	6	1	13	680	604	+76
3	Liaoning	7	6	1	13	676	609	+67
4	Beijing Royal Fighters	7	5	2	12	694	567	+127
5	Shanxi Zhongyu	7	5	2	12	707	636	+71
6	Zhejiang Chouzhou	7	5	2	12	579	519	+60
7	Zhejiang Guangsha	7	4	3	11	634	671	−37
8	Guangzhou	7	4	3	11	637	661	−24
9	Fujian	7	4	3	11	642	618	+24
10	Shandong	7	3	4	10	637	655	−18
11	Jilin	7	3	4	10	586	587	−1
12	Shenzhen	7	3	4	10	537	661	−124
13	Xinjiang	7	3	4	10	602	629	−27
14	Guangdong	7	3	4	10	600	611	−11
15	Qingdao	7	2	5	9	620	637	−17
16	Sichuan	7	2	5	9	564	669	−105
17	Nanjing Tongxi	7	2	5	9	612	681	−69
18	Tianjin	7	2	5	9	649	665	−16
19	Jiangsu Dragons	7	1	6	8	557	602	−45
20	Ningbo Rockets	7	0	7	7	545	666	−121

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Guangdong host Jiangsu Dragons in the CBA on Thursday, October 29, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.