Grindavik vs Stjarnan prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 72%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 189 Margin GRI by 1 Win GRI 54% Actual 190 · GRI won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Grindavik vs Stjarnan
Last 29 games each with full stats · all competitions
Grindavik at home, last 20 games · Stjarnan away, last 18
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Grindavik 1, Stjarnan 1.
- Average total 183.5 points per meeting
- Over 181.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting GRI by 6 Mar 13, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 13, 2026 Premier league Grindavik 94–88 Stjarnan 182 pts
- Dec 7, 2025 Premier league Stjarnan 118–67 Grindavik 185 pts
Last five games
- Oct 16: Valur 81, Grindavik 74. Lost. Odds: Valur 1.40, Grindavik 2.70.
- Oct 9: Grindavik 80, KR Basket 91. Lost. Odds: Grindavik 3.50, KR Basket 1.22.
- May 18: Tindastoll 102, Grindavik 109. Won. No odds on record.
- May 15: Grindavik 89, Tindastoll 94. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 12: Tindastoll 83, Grindavik 86. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 16: Stjarnan 98, Hottur 103. Lost. Odds: Stjarnan 1.20, Hottur 4.00.
- Oct 8: Valur 90, Stjarnan 77. Lost. Odds: Valur 2.25, Stjarnan 1.57.
- May 6: Tindastoll 100, Stjarnan 91. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 3: Stjarnan 97, Tindastoll 103. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 29: Tindastoll 103, Stjarnan 88. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-game losing streak for Stjarnan coming into this game.
- 6th vs 8th in the Premier league standings.
- Different pace — Grindavik averaged 83.6 possessions per game, Stjarnan 89.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| GRI moneyline | 1.90 | moved up 1.98 |
| STJ moneyline | 1.82 | moved down 1.72 |
| Total points | 180.5 | moved up 181.5 |
| GRI spread | +1.5 | moved up +2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Premier league standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 468 | 380 | +88 | |
| 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 390 | 329 | +61 | |
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 351 | 320 | +31 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 377 | 342 | +35 | |
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 436 | 409 | +27 | |
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 356 | 367 | −11 | |
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 387 | 417 | −30 | |
| 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 369 | 387 | −18 | |
| 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 377 | 420 | −43 | |
| 10 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 338 | 366 | −28 | |
| 11 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 354 | 388 | −34 | |
| 12 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 334 | 412 | −78 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Grindavik host Stjarnan in the Premier league on Thursday, October 22, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.