Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies prediction
Golden State Warriors
34
22
34
18
Memphis Grizzlies
33
27
24
27
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 85%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Golden State Warriors108119Memphis Grizzlies111111Golden State Warriors108119Memphis Grizzlies111111Total 230 Margin GSW by 8 Win GSW 69% Actual 219 · MEM won
Golden State Warriors
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Memphis Grizzlies
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies
Golden State Warriors
Memphis Grizzlies
Last 7 and 6 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Golden State Warriors 3, Memphis Grizzlies 0.
- Average total 240.3 points per meeting
- Over 237.5 2 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting GSW by 21 Feb 25, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 25, 2026 NBA Memphis Grizzlies 112–133 Golden State Warriors 245 pts
- Feb 9, 2026 NBA Golden State Warriors 114–113 Memphis Grizzlies 227 pts
- Oct 27, 2025 NBA Golden State Warriors 131–118 Memphis Grizzlies 249 pts
Last five games
Golden State Warriors
3-2 - Oct 21: Los Angeles Lakers 127, Golden State Warriors 105. Lost. Odds: Los Angeles Lakers 1.43, Golden State Warriors 2.85.
- Oct 16: Golden State Warriors 128, Portland Trail Blazers 118. Won. Odds: Golden State Warriors 2.04, Portland Trail Blazers 1.69.
- Oct 13: Los Angeles Lakers 89, Golden State Warriors 101. Won. Odds: Los Angeles Lakers 2.08, Golden State Warriors 1.70.
- Oct 10: Golden State Warriors 111, Sacramento Kings 106. Won. Odds: Golden State Warriors 1.39, Sacramento Kings 2.84.
- Oct 7: Portland Trail Blazers 123, Golden State Warriors 118. Lost. Odds: Portland Trail Blazers 1.14, Golden State Warriors 5.19.
Memphis Grizzlies
4-1 - Oct 21: Memphis Grizzlies 123, Utah Jazz 103. Won. Odds: Memphis Grizzlies 1.78, Utah Jazz 1.91.
- Oct 16: Memphis Grizzlies 116, Charlotte Hornets 98. Won. Odds: Memphis Grizzlies 1.69, Charlotte Hornets 2.04.
- Oct 9: Chicago Bulls 100, Memphis Grizzlies 104. Won. Odds: Chicago Bulls 1.65, Memphis Grizzlies 2.18.
- Oct 7: Memphis Grizzlies 118, Orlando Magic 122. Lost. Odds: Memphis Grizzlies 2.01, Orlando Magic 1.75.
- Oct 5: Atlanta Hawks 123, Memphis Grizzlies 132. Won. Odds: Atlanta Hawks 1.65, Memphis Grizzlies 2.30.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Memphis Grizzlies coming into this game.
- 5-0 away for Memphis Grizzlies this season.
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for Golden State Warriors.
- Over/under moved up from 234.5 to 237.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 11.0 — Golden State Warriors +4.0 per 100 possessions, Memphis Grizzlies +15.0.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| GSW moneyline | 1.59 | 1.59 |
| MEM moneyline | 2.25 | moved up 2.44 |
| Total points | 234.5 | moved up 237.5 |
| GSW spread | −3.5 | moved down −4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Memphis Grizzlies |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 470 | 443 | +27 |
| 2 |  Utah Jazz |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 453 | 439 | +14 |
| 3 |  New Orleans Pelicans |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 442 | 441 | +1 |
| 4 | Golden State Warriors |
6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 683 | 638 | +45 |
| 5 |  Houston Rockets |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 366 | 338 | +28 |
| 6 |  Portland Trail Blazers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 351 | 344 | +7 |
| 7 |  Los Angeles Clippers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 332 | 325 | +7 |
| 8 |  Denver Nuggets |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 578 | 571 | +7 |
| 9 |  Minnesota Timberwolves |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 697 | 709 | −12 |
| 10 |  San Antonio Spurs |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 572 | 544 | +28 |
| 11 |  Los Angeles Lakers |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 534 | 559 | −25 |
| 12 |  Dallas Mavericks |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 457 | 486 | −29 |
| 13 |  Phoenix Suns |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 545 | 573 | −28 |
| 14 |  Oklahoma City Thunder |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 549 | 585 | −36 |
| 15 |  Sacramento Kings |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 514 | 588 | −74 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Golden State Warriors host Memphis Grizzlies in the NBA on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.