Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers prediction
Golden State Warriors
15
38
32
27
Los Angeles Lakers
38
15
27
15
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 79%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Golden State Warriors112114Los Angeles Lakers95118Golden State Warriors112114Los Angeles Lakers95118Total 232 Margin LAL by 4 Win LAL 59% Actual 207 · GSW won
Golden State Warriors
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Los Angeles Lakers
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers
Golden State Warriors
Los Angeles Lakers
Last 7 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Golden State Warriors 2, Los Angeles Lakers 3.
- Average total 219.2 points per meeting
- Over 234.5 0 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting LAL by 22 Oct 21, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 21, 2026 NBA Los Angeles Lakers 127–105 Golden State Warriors 232 pts
- Oct 13, 2026 NBA Los Angeles Lakers 89–101 Golden State Warriors 190 pts
- Oct 6, 2026 NBA Golden State Warriors 124–98 Los Angeles Lakers 222 pts
- Apr 9, 2026 NBA Golden State Warriors 103–119 Los Angeles Lakers 222 pts
- Feb 28, 2026 NBA Golden State Warriors 101–129 Los Angeles Lakers 230 pts
Last five games
Golden State Warriors
2-3 - Oct 28: Minnesota Timberwolves 114, Golden State Warriors 119. Won. Odds: Minnesota Timberwolves 1.58, Golden State Warriors 2.46.
- Oct 26: Denver Nuggets 114, Golden State Warriors 134. Won. Odds: Denver Nuggets 1.36, Golden State Warriors 3.25.
- Oct 24: Phoenix Suns 131, Golden State Warriors 122. Lost. Odds: Phoenix Suns 1.23, Golden State Warriors 4.35.
- Oct 23: Golden State Warriors 108, Memphis Grizzlies 111. Lost. Odds: Golden State Warriors 1.59, Memphis Grizzlies 2.44.
- Oct 21: Los Angeles Lakers 127, Golden State Warriors 105. Lost. Odds: Los Angeles Lakers 1.43, Golden State Warriors 2.85.
Los Angeles Lakers
4-1 - Oct 28: Los Angeles Clippers 87, Los Angeles Lakers 103. Won. Odds: Los Angeles Clippers 1.89, Los Angeles Lakers 1.93.
- Oct 27: Los Angeles Lakers 129, Portland Trail Blazers 136. Lost. Odds: Los Angeles Lakers 1.83, Portland Trail Blazers 2.00.
- Oct 25: Utah Jazz 123, Los Angeles Lakers 132. Won. Odds: Utah Jazz 3.00, Los Angeles Lakers 1.41.
- Oct 23: Los Angeles Lakers 125, Los Angeles Clippers 117. Won. Odds: Los Angeles Lakers 1.28, Los Angeles Clippers 3.80.
- Oct 21: Los Angeles Lakers 127, Golden State Warriors 105. Won. Odds: Los Angeles Lakers 1.43, Golden State Warriors 2.85.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Los Angeles Lakers.
- 4-1 in the last five for Los Angeles Lakers.
- 219.2 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 234.5.
- 4th vs 11th in the NBA standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| GSW moneyline | 2.00 | moved up 2.22 |
| LAL moneyline | 1.80 | moved down 1.69 |
| Total points | 235.5 | moved down 234.5 |
| GSW spread | +1.5 | moved up +3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Memphis Grizzlies |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 470 | 443 | +27 |
| 2 |  Utah Jazz |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 453 | 439 | +14 |
| 3 |  New Orleans Pelicans |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 442 | 441 | +1 |
| 4 | Golden State Warriors |
6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 683 | 638 | +45 |
| 5 |  Houston Rockets |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 366 | 338 | +28 |
| 6 |  Portland Trail Blazers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 351 | 344 | +7 |
| 7 |  Los Angeles Clippers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 332 | 325 | +7 |
| 8 |  Denver Nuggets |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 578 | 571 | +7 |
| 9 |  Minnesota Timberwolves |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 697 | 709 | −12 |
| 10 |  San Antonio Spurs |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 572 | 544 | +28 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Lakers |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 534 | 559 | −25 |
| 12 |  Dallas Mavericks |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 457 | 486 | −29 |
| 13 |  Phoenix Suns |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 545 | 573 | −28 |
| 14 |  Oklahoma City Thunder |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 549 | 585 | −36 |
| 15 |  Sacramento Kings |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 514 | 588 | −74 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Golden State Warriors host Los Angeles Lakers in the NBA on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.