Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers prediction
Golden State Warriors
45
36
15
28
Los Angeles Lakers
31
22
22
23
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 76%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Golden State Warriors124110Los Angeles Lakers98111Golden State Warriors124110Los Angeles Lakers98111Total 221 Margin LAL by 1 Win LAL 54% Actual 222 · GSW won
Golden State Warriors
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Los Angeles Lakers
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers
Golden State Warriors
Los Angeles Lakers
Last 7 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Golden State Warriors 2, Los Angeles Lakers 3.
- Average total 216.2 points per meeting
- Over 220.5 3 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting GSW by 17 Oct 30, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 30, 2026 NBA Golden State Warriors 112–95 Los Angeles Lakers 207 pts
- Oct 21, 2026 NBA Los Angeles Lakers 127–105 Golden State Warriors 232 pts
- Oct 13, 2026 NBA Los Angeles Lakers 89–101 Golden State Warriors 190 pts
- Apr 9, 2026 NBA Golden State Warriors 103–119 Los Angeles Lakers 222 pts
- Feb 28, 2026 NBA Golden State Warriors 101–129 Los Angeles Lakers 230 pts
Last five games
Golden State Warriors
1-4 - Oct 4: Los Angeles Clippers 104, Golden State Warriors 101. Lost. Odds: Los Angeles Clippers 2.15, Golden State Warriors 1.74.
- Apr 17: Phoenix Suns 111, Golden State Warriors 96. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 15: Los Angeles Clippers 121, Golden State Warriors 126. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 12: Los Angeles Clippers 115, Golden State Warriors 110. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 10: Sacramento Kings 124, Golden State Warriors 118. Lost. No odds on record.
Los Angeles Lakers
1-4 - Oct 5: Sacramento Kings 103, Los Angeles Lakers 127. Won. Odds: Sacramento Kings 2.28, Los Angeles Lakers 1.58.
- May 11: Los Angeles Lakers 110, Oklahoma City Thunder 115. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 9: Los Angeles Lakers 108, Oklahoma City Thunder 131. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 7: Oklahoma City Thunder 125, Los Angeles Lakers 107. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 5: Oklahoma City Thunder 108, Los Angeles Lakers 90. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Los Angeles Lakers, who played yesterday.
- Odds moved: the odds on Golden State Warriors dropped from 1.67 to 1.37 since they were first published.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Los Angeles Lakers.
- 1-4 in the last five for Golden State Warriors.
- 1-4 in the last five for Los Angeles Lakers.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| GSW moneyline | 1.67 | moved down 1.37 |
| LAL moneyline | 2.18 | moved up 3.00 |
| Total points | 220.5 | 220.5 |
| GSW spread | −3.5 | moved down −6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Memphis Grizzlies |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 470 | 443 | +27 |
| 2 |  Utah Jazz |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 453 | 439 | +14 |
| 3 |  New Orleans Pelicans |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 442 | 441 | +1 |
| 4 | Golden State Warriors |
6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 683 | 638 | +45 |
| 5 |  Houston Rockets |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 366 | 338 | +28 |
| 6 |  Portland Trail Blazers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 351 | 344 | +7 |
| 7 |  Los Angeles Clippers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 332 | 325 | +7 |
| 8 |  Denver Nuggets |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 578 | 571 | +7 |
| 9 |  Minnesota Timberwolves |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 697 | 709 | −12 |
| 10 |  San Antonio Spurs |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 572 | 544 | +28 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Lakers |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 534 | 559 | −25 |
| 12 |  Dallas Mavericks |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 457 | 486 | −29 |
| 13 |  Phoenix Suns |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 545 | 573 | −28 |
| 14 |  Oklahoma City Thunder |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 549 | 585 | −36 |
| 15 |  Sacramento Kings |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 514 | 588 | −74 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Golden State Warriors host Los Angeles Lakers in the NBA on Tuesday, October 6, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.