Golden State Valkyries vs Portland Fire prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 70%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 161 Margin GSV by 9 Win GSV 75% Actual 148 · GSV won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Golden State Valkyries vs Portland Fire
Last 29 and 30 games with full stats · all competitions
Golden State Valkyries at home, last 29 games · Portland Fire away, last 22
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Golden State Valkyries 2, Portland Fire 1.
- Average total 166.3 points per meeting
- Over 159.5 2 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting POR by 8 Sep 22, 2026
Meetings
- Sep 22, 2026 WNBA Portland Fire 90–82 OT Golden State Valkyries 172 pts · OT
- Aug 30, 2026 WNBA Portland Fire 69–86 Golden State Valkyries 155 pts
- Jun 2, 2026 WNBA Golden State Valkyries 95–77 Portland Fire 172 pts
Last five games
- Aug 30: Portland Fire 69, Golden State Valkyries 86. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 27: New York Liberty 60, Golden State Valkyries 79. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 26: Connecticut Sun 64, Golden State Valkyries 89. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 24: Minnesota Lynx 66, Golden State Valkyries 80. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 21: Chicago Sky 73, Golden State Valkyries 70. Lost. No odds on record.
- Sep 17: Portland Fire 91, Phoenix Mercury 94. Lost. Odds: Portland Fire 2.25, Phoenix Mercury 1.61.
- Aug 30: Portland Fire 69, Golden State Valkyries 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- Aug 28: Atlanta Dream 83, Portland Fire 101. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 25: Dallas Wings 96, Portland Fire 78. Lost. No odds on record.
- Aug 23: Portland Fire 100, Washington Mystics 105. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Portland Fire, who played yesterday.
- 4-game winning streak for Golden State Valkyries coming into this game.
- 24-6 at home for Golden State Valkyries this season.
- Over/under moved down from 161.5 to 159.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 12.7 — Golden State Valkyries +6.0 per 100 possessions, Portland Fire −6.7.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| GSV moneyline | 1.12 | moved down 1.10 |
| POR moneyline | 6.00 | moved down 5.85 |
| Total points | 161.5 | moved down 159.5 |
| GSV spread | −12.5 | −12.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
WNBA standings
Regular Season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 44 | 33 | 11 | .750 | 3997 | 3681 | +316 | |
| 2 | 44 | 32 | 12 | .727 | 3615 | 3306 | +309 | |
| 3 | 44 | 31 | 13 | .705 | 4025 | 3776 | +249 | |
| 4 | 44 | 27 | 17 | .614 | 3933 | 3751 | +182 | |
| 5 | 44 | 17 | 27 | .386 | 3794 | 4005 | −211 | |
| 6 | 44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3830 | 4018 | −188 | |
| 7 | 44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3712 | 3854 | −142 | |
| 8 | 44 | 8 | 36 | .182 | 3616 | 3913 | −297 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Golden State Valkyries host Portland Fire in the WNBA on Friday, September 18, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.