Golden State Valkyries vs Las Vegas Aces prediction
Golden State Valkyries
22
12
22
15
Las Vegas Aces
18
13
17
12
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 78%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Golden State Valkyries7180Las Vegas Aces6085Golden State Valkyries7180Las Vegas Aces6085Total 165 Margin LVA by 5 Win LVA 60% Actual 131 · GSV won
Golden State Valkyries
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Las Vegas Aces
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Golden State Valkyries vs Las Vegas Aces
Golden State Valkyries
Las Vegas Aces
Last 29 games each with full stats · all competitions
Golden State Valkyries at home, last 29 games · Las Vegas Aces away, last 26
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Golden State Valkyries 2, Las Vegas Aces 3.
- Average total 165.6 points per meeting
- Over 159.5 5 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting GSV by 10 Oct 9, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 9, 2026 WNBA Las Vegas Aces 77–87 OT Golden State Valkyries 164 pts · OT
- Oct 7, 2026 WNBA Golden State Valkyries 83–81 Las Vegas Aces 164 pts
- Jun 21, 2026 WNBA Las Vegas Aces 92–73 Golden State Valkyries 165 pts
- Jun 6, 2026 WNBA Las Vegas Aces 84–79 Golden State Valkyries 163 pts
- May 31, 2026 WNBA Golden State Valkyries 81–91 Las Vegas Aces 172 pts
Last five games
Golden State Valkyries
3-2 - Oct 2: Golden State Valkyries 77, Dallas Wings 73. Won. Odds: Golden State Valkyries 1.26, Dallas Wings 3.65.
- Sep 30: Dallas Wings 108, Golden State Valkyries 100. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Dallas Wings 2.50, Golden State Valkyries 1.55.
- Sep 27: Golden State Valkyries 104, Dallas Wings 80. Won. No odds on record.
- Sep 24: Los Angeles Sparks 75, Golden State Valkyries 76. Won. Odds: Los Angeles Sparks 4.90, Golden State Valkyries 1.17.
- Sep 22: Portland Fire 90, Golden State Valkyries 82. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Portland Fire 7.60, Golden State Valkyries 1.08.
Las Vegas Aces
4-1 - Oct 1: Las Vegas Aces 94, Indiana Fever 83. Won. Odds: Las Vegas Aces 1.53, Indiana Fever 2.55.
- Sep 29: Indiana Fever 99, Las Vegas Aces 89. Lost. Odds: Indiana Fever 1.85, Las Vegas Aces 1.98.
- Sep 24: Phoenix Mercury 82, Las Vegas Aces 100. Won. Odds: Phoenix Mercury 4.60, Las Vegas Aces 1.19.
- Sep 22: Las Vegas Aces 89, Los Angeles Sparks 79. Won. Odds: Las Vegas Aces 1.05, Los Angeles Sparks 10.00.
- Sep 20: Las Vegas Aces 98, Seattle Storm 77. Won. Odds: Las Vegas Aces 1.04, Seattle Storm 8.50.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Golden State Valkyries, who played yesterday.
- Odds moved: the odds on Golden State Valkyries dropped from 2.01 to 1.80 since they were first published.
- 24-6 at home for Golden State Valkyries this season.
- Over/under moved down from 161.5 to 159.5 since it was first published.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Las Vegas Aces.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| GSV moneyline | 2.01 | moved down 1.80 |
| LVA moneyline | 1.77 | moved up 1.90 |
| Total points | 161.5 | moved down 159.5 |
| GSV spread | +1.5 | moved down −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
WNBA standings
Regular Season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minnesota Lynx |
44 | 33 | 11 | .750 | 3997 | 3681 | +316 |
| 2 | Golden State Valkyries |
44 | 32 | 12 | .727 | 3615 | 3306 | +309 |
| 3 | Las Vegas Aces |
44 | 31 | 13 | .705 | 4025 | 3776 | +249 |
| 4 |  Dallas Wings |
44 | 27 | 17 | .614 | 3933 | 3751 | +182 |
| 5 |  Portland Fire |
44 | 17 | 27 | .386 | 3794 | 4005 | −211 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles Sparks |
44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3830 | 4018 | −188 |
| 7 |  Phoenix Mercury |
44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3712 | 3854 | −142 |
| 8 |  Seattle Storm |
44 | 8 | 36 | .182 | 3616 | 3913 | −297 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Golden State Valkyries host Las Vegas Aces in the WNBA on Sunday, October 4, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.