Golden State Valkyries vs Atlanta Dream Prediction & Odds — Oct 17

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WNBA Saturday, October 17, 2026Sat, Oct 17 Start15:30ET Final

Golden State ValkyriesHome · 32-12 · 2nd · 1.64

681428917

Atlanta DreamAway · 30-14 · 4th · 2.12

642217178

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Golden State Valkyries 14 28 9 17

Atlanta Dream 22 17 17 8

FT Chase Center · USAChase Center · Final

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

ATL +10.5 1.24 82%

Atlanta Dream +10.5 on the spread edge −8.2%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won ATL +10.5 1.24 Atlanta Dream +10.5 on the spread Confidence82% model 66.3% · market 74.5% edge −8.2%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 75%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.64 53.1% 58.4% −5.3% 57% Won

Total points O143.5 1.33 89.8% 71.9% +17.9% 85% Lost

Point spread ATL +10.5 1.24 66.3% 74.5% −8.2% 82% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Golden State Valkyries6885

Atlanta Dream6484

Total 169 actual 132

Winning margin GSV by 1 actual GSV by 4

Chance to win GSV 53% GSV won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Golden State Valkyries6885

Atlanta Dream6484

Total 169 Margin GSV by 1 Win GSV 53% Actual 132 · GSV won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 18+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Golden State Valkyries large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Atlanta Dream

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Golden State Valkyries vs Atlanta Dream

Golden State Valkyries Atlanta Dream

Last 29 and 30 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Golden State Valkyries 4-1

Oct 9: Las Vegas Aces 77, Golden State Valkyries 87. After overtime. Won. Odds: Las Vegas Aces 1.45, Golden State Valkyries 2.80.
Oct 7: Golden State Valkyries 83, Las Vegas Aces 81. Won. Odds: Golden State Valkyries 1.70, Las Vegas Aces 2.11.
Oct 4: Golden State Valkyries 71, Las Vegas Aces 60. Won. Odds: Golden State Valkyries 1.80, Las Vegas Aces 1.90.
Oct 2: Golden State Valkyries 77, Dallas Wings 73. Won. Odds: Golden State Valkyries 1.26, Dallas Wings 3.65.
Sep 30: Dallas Wings 108, Golden State Valkyries 100. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Dallas Wings 2.50, Golden State Valkyries 1.55.

Atlanta Dream 5-0

Oct 9: New York Liberty 83, Atlanta Dream 85. Won. Odds: New York Liberty 1.52, Atlanta Dream 2.55.
Oct 7: Atlanta Dream 101, New York Liberty 98. After overtime. Won. Odds: Atlanta Dream 1.80, New York Liberty 2.05.
Oct 4: Atlanta Dream 92, New York Liberty 82. Won. Odds: Atlanta Dream 1.52, New York Liberty 2.46.
Sep 30: Washington Mystics 75, Atlanta Dream 93. Won. Odds: Washington Mystics 2.30, Atlanta Dream 1.65.
Sep 27: Atlanta Dream 92, Washington Mystics 77. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
GSV moneyline	1.63	moved up 1.64
ATL moneyline	2.23	moved down 2.12
Total points	153.5	moved up 154.5
GSV spread	−2.5	−2.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

WNBA standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Minnesota Lynx	44	33	11	.750	3997	3681	+316
2	Golden State Valkyries	44	32	12	.727	3615	3306	+309
3	Las Vegas Aces	44	31	13	.705	4025	3776	+249
4	Atlanta Dream	44	30	14	.682	4019	3717	+302
5	Washington Mystics	44	28	16	.636	3696	3640	+56
6	Indiana Fever	44	28	16	.636	4222	3979	+243
7	Dallas Wings	44	27	17	.614	3933	3751	+182
8	New York Liberty	44	26	18	.591	3941	3802	+139
9	Portland Fire	44	17	27	.386	3794	4005	−211
10	Chicago Sky	44	16	28	.364	3818	3989	−171
11	Los Angeles Sparks	44	16	28	.364	3830	4018	−188
12	Phoenix Mercury	44	16	28	.364	3712	3854	−142
13	Connecticut Sun	44	11	33	.250	3470	3875	−405
14	Toronto Tempo	44	11	33	.250	3770	4152	−382
15	Seattle Storm	44	8	36	.182	3616	3913	−297

Playoffs

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Golden State Valkyries host Atlanta Dream in the WNBA on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.