Gimnasia vs La Union prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 156 Margin GIM by 4 Win GIM 61% Actual 178 · GIM won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Gimnasia vs La Union
Last 7 and 24 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Gimnasia 1, La Union 1.
- Average total 146.5 points per meeting
- Over 157.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting GIM by 9 Mar 7, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 7, 2026 Liga A La Union 77–86 Gimnasia 163 pts
- Oct 15, 2025 Liga A Gimnasia 61–69 La Union 130 pts
Last five games
- Sep 30: Penarol 62, Gimnasia 57. Lost. Odds: Penarol 2.13, Gimnasia 1.66.
- Sep 28: Lanus 74, Gimnasia 92. Won. Odds: Lanus 2.25, Gimnasia 1.55.
- Jun 20: Gimnasia 68, Quimsa 56. Won. No odds on record.
- Jun 17: Quimsa 88, Gimnasia 60. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 13: Gimnasia 74, Quimsa 77. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 2: Independiente de Oliva 97, La Union 92. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 30: Independiente de Oliva 83, La Union 78. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 26: La Union 86, Independiente de Oliva 62. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 24: La Union 91, Independiente de Oliva 102. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 17: La Union 82, Atenas 84. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Net rating difference of 10.5 — Gimnasia +8.5 per 100 possessions, La Union −2.0.
- 1-4 in the last five for La Union.
- 4th vs 14th in the Liga A standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| GIM moneyline | 1.31 | moved down 1.29 |
| LAX moneyline | 3.20 | moved up 3.31 |
| Total points | 157.5 | 157.5 |
| GIM spread | −6.5 | moved down −7.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Liga A standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1.000 | 506 | 443 | +63 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 406 | 373 | +33 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 434 | 419 | +15 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | .750 | 610 | 583 | +27 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 443 | 419 | +24 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 403 | 394 | +9 | |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 373 | 371 | +2 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 529 | 510 | +19 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 482 | 482 | 0 | |
| 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | .500 | 200 | 190 | +10 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 576 | 590 | −14 | |
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 606 | 632 | −26 | |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 492 | 513 | −21 | |
| 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 244 | 252 | −8 | |
| 15 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 299 | 313 | −14 | |
| 16 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 305 | 323 | −18 | |
| 17 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 367 | 406 | −39 | |
| 18 | 6 | 0 | 6 | .000 | 509 | 571 | −62 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Gimnasia host La Union in the Liga A on Sunday, October 4, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.