Gimnasia vs Ferro prediction
Gimnasia
23
22
11
17
Ferro
14
19
15
13
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Gimnasia7386Ferro6182Gimnasia7386Ferro6182Total 168 Margin GIM by 4 Win GIM 65% Actual 134 · GIM won
Gimnasia vs Ferro
Gimnasia
Ferro
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Gimnasia 3, Ferro 2.
- Average total 150.2 points per meeting
- Over 161.5 0 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting GIM by 34 Jun 2, 2026
Meetings
- Jun 2, 2026 Liga A Gimnasia 88–54 Ferro 142 pts
- May 30, 2026 Liga A Ferro 81–73 Gimnasia 154 pts
- May 28, 2026 Liga A Ferro 74–70 Gimnasia 144 pts
- May 25, 2026 Liga A Gimnasia 79–74 Ferro 153 pts
- May 23, 2026 Liga A Gimnasia 81–77 Ferro 158 pts
Last five games
Gimnasia
3-2 - Oct 12: Argentino 82, Gimnasia 87. Won. Odds: Argentino 3.05, Gimnasia 1.34.
- Oct 10: Racing de Chivilcoy 72, Gimnasia 78. Won. Odds: Racing de Chivilcoy 2.21, Gimnasia 1.62.
- Oct 8: San Lorenzo 89, Gimnasia 73. Lost. Odds: San Lorenzo 2.50, Gimnasia 1.47.
- Oct 4: Gimnasia 92, La Union 86. Won. Odds: Gimnasia 1.29, La Union 3.31.
- Sep 30: Penarol 62, Gimnasia 57. Lost. Odds: Penarol 2.13, Gimnasia 1.66.
Ferro
2-3 - Oct 20: Ferro 86, Platense 81. Won. Odds: Ferro 1.30, Platense 3.25.
- Oct 12: Atenas 91, Ferro 86. Lost. Odds: Atenas 1.36, Ferro 2.97.
- Oct 10: Instituto de Cordoba 97, Ferro 94. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Instituto de Cordoba 1.37, Ferro 2.32.
- Oct 8: Independiente de Oliva 92, Ferro 97. Won. Odds: Independiente de Oliva 1.76, Ferro 1.94.
- Sep 30: Argentino 79, Ferro 68. Lost. Odds: Argentino 3.10, Ferro 1.30.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Ferro dropped from 3.00 to 2.40 since they were first published.
- 1-4 away for Ferro this season.
- Over/under moved up from 157.5 to 161.5 since it was first published.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Gimnasia.
- 150.2 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 161.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| GIM moneyline | 1.31 | moved up 1.53 |
| FER moneyline | 3.00 | moved down 2.40 |
| Total points | 157.5 | moved up 161.5 |
| GIM spread | −5.5 | moved up −4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Liga A standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Quimsa |
6 | 6 | 0 | 1.000 | 506 | 443 | +63 |
| 2 |  Penarol |
5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 406 | 373 | +33 |
| 3 |  Atenas |
5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 434 | 419 | +15 |
| 4 | Gimnasia |
8 | 6 | 2 | .750 | 610 | 583 | +27 |
| 5 |  Olimpico |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 443 | 419 | +24 |
| 6 |  Argentino |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 403 | 394 | +9 |
| 7 |  Instituto de Cordoba |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 373 | 371 | +2 |
| 8 |  Boca Juniors |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 529 | 510 | +19 |
| 9 |  Platense |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 482 | 482 | 0 |
| 10 |  Independiente de Oliva |
2 | 1 | 1 | .500 | 200 | 190 | +10 |
| 11 |  Racing de Chivilcoy |
7 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 576 | 590 | −14 |
| 12 |  Lanus |
8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 606 | 632 | −26 |
| 13 | Ferro |
6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 492 | 513 | −21 |
| 14 |  La Union |
3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 244 | 252 | −8 |
| 15 |  Regatas |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 299 | 313 | −14 |
| 16 |  San Lorenzo |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 305 | 323 | −18 |
| 17 |  Obera TC |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 367 | 406 | −39 |
| 18 |  San Martin |
6 | 0 | 6 | .000 | 509 | 571 | −62 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Gimnasia host Ferro in the Liga A on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.