Geneva Lions vs Lugano Tigers Prediction & Odds

SB League Saturday, October 24, 2026Sat, Oct 24 Start12:00ET Round 6

Geneva LionsHome · 7-0 · 1st · 1.01

9224242222

Lugano TigersAway · 1-6 · 8th · 8.00

742321822

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Geneva Lions 24 24 22 22

Lugano Tigers 23 21 8 22

FT Pavilion des Sports · SwitzerlandPavilion des Sports · Round 6

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

LUG +33.5 1.38 52%

Lugano Tigers +33.5 on the spread edge −20.0%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won LUG +33.5 1.38 Lugano Tigers +33.5 on the spread Confidence52% model 50.8% · market 70.8% edge −20.0%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 66%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.01 90.1% 89.9% +0.2% 85% Won

Total points O156.5 1.39 69.7% 66.0% +3.7% 62% Won

Point spread LUG +33.5 1.38 50.8% 70.8% −20.0% 52% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Geneva Lions9296

Lugano Tigers7470

Total 166 actual 166

Winning margin GEN by 26 actual GEN by 18

Chance to win GEN 90% GEN won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Geneva Lions9296

Lugano Tigers7470

Total 166 Margin GEN by 26 Win GEN 90% Actual 166 · GEN won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 5+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Geneva Lions large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Lugano Tigers

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Geneva Lions vs Lugano Tigers

Geneva Lions Lugano Tigers

Last 12 and 6 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Geneva Lions 3-2

Oct 21: Geneva Lions 76, Denizli Basket 80. Lost. Odds: Geneva Lions 2.85, Denizli Basket 1.35.
Oct 17: Neuchatel 41, Geneva Lions 91. Won. Odds: Neuchatel 4.45, Geneva Lions 1.07.
Oct 14: Geneva Lions 73, Bakken Bears 78. Lost. Odds: Geneva Lions 1.51, Bakken Bears 2.45.
Oct 10: Lausanne Basket 65, Geneva Lions 94. Won. Odds: Lausanne Basket 2.47, Geneva Lions 1.32.
Oct 7: Absheron Lions 83, Geneva Lions 105. Won. Odds: Absheron Lions 1.80, Geneva Lions 1.87.

Lugano Tigers 1-4

Oct 17: Lugano Tigers 72, SAM Massagno 102. Lost. Odds: Lugano Tigers 2.67, SAM Massagno 1.27.
Oct 10: Fribourg Olympic 116, Lugano Tigers 80. Lost. Odds: Fribourg Olympic 1.04, Lugano Tigers 5.00.
Oct 4: Lugano Tigers 70, Sdent BBC Nyon 77. Lost. Odds: Lugano Tigers 2.52, Sdent BBC Nyon 1.48.
Sep 30: Neuchatel 69, Lugano Tigers 61. Lost. Odds: Neuchatel 1.65, Lugano Tigers 2.15.
Sep 27: Lugano Tigers 94, BBC Monthey 72. Won. Odds: Lugano Tigers 1.67, BBC Monthey 2.12.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
GEN moneyline	1.01	1.01
LUG moneyline	9.00	moved down 8.00
Total points	163.5	moved down 162.5
GEN spread	−26.5	moved down −28.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

SB League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Geneva Lions	7	7	0	14	660	414	+246
2	Fribourg Olympic	7	6	1	13	601	459	+142
3	SAM Massagno	7	6	1	13	642	549	+93
4	Lausanne Basket	7	5	2	12	594	536	+58
5	Sdent BBC Nyon	7	4	3	11	594	544	+50
6	Neuchatel	7	3	4	10	477	537	−60
7	BBC Monthey	7	2	5	9	557	615	−58
8	Lugano Tigers	7	1	6	8	524	619	−95
9	Regio Basel	7	1	6	8	472	620	−148
10	Zurich	7	0	7	7	412	640	−228

Playoffs: Quarter-finals

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Geneva Lions host Lugano Tigers in the SB League on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.