Geneva Lions vs Fribourg Olympic prediction
Geneva Lions
10
24
14
23
Fribourg Olympic
25
15
13
11
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Geneva Lions7188Fribourg Olympic6478Geneva Lions7188Fribourg Olympic6478Total 166 Margin GEN by 10 Win GEN 73% Actual 135 · GEN won
Geneva Lions
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Fribourg Olympic
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Geneva Lions vs Fribourg Olympic
Geneva Lions
Fribourg Olympic
Last 12 games each with full stats · all competitions
Geneva Lions at home, last 6 games · Fribourg Olympic away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Geneva Lions 1, Fribourg Olympic 4.
- Average total 163.0 points per meeting
- Over 159.5 2 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting FRI by 20 May 26, 2026
Meetings
- May 26, 2026 SB League Geneva Lions 66–86 Fribourg Olympic 152 pts
- May 23, 2026 SB League Geneva Lions 84–87 Fribourg Olympic 171 pts
- May 19, 2026 SB League Fribourg Olympic 77–79 Geneva Lions 156 pts
- May 16, 2026 SB League Fribourg Olympic 90–89 Geneva Lions 179 pts
- Mar 28, 2026 SB League Fribourg Olympic 88–69 Geneva Lions 157 pts
Last five games
Geneva Lions
2-3 - Sep 29: Zurich 46, Geneva Lions 109. Won. Odds: Zurich 18.00, Geneva Lions –.
- Sep 26: Geneva Lions 86, Sdent BBC Nyon 69. Won. Odds: Geneva Lions 1.08, Sdent BBC Nyon 6.25.
- Sep 15: Benfica 87, Geneva Lions 78. Lost. Odds: Benfica 1.14, Geneva Lions 5.05.
- May 26: Geneva Lions 66, Fribourg Olympic 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 23: Geneva Lions 84, Fribourg Olympic 87. Lost. No odds on record.
Fribourg Olympic
4-1 - Sep 30: BBC Monthey 73, Fribourg Olympic 78. Won. Odds: BBC Monthey 21.00, Fribourg Olympic –.
- Sep 27: Fribourg Olympic 75, Neuchatel 68. Won. Odds: Fribourg Olympic –, Neuchatel 21.00.
- Sep 16: Fribourg Olympic 85, Batumi 86. Lost. Odds: Fribourg Olympic 1.10, Batumi 6.10.
- May 26: Geneva Lions 66, Fribourg Olympic 86. Won. No odds on record.
- May 23: Geneva Lions 84, Fribourg Olympic 87. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Geneva Lions dropped from 3.35 to 1.87 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 16.8 — Geneva Lions +28.0 per 100 possessions, Fribourg Olympic +11.2.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Fribourg Olympic.
- 4-1 in the last five for Fribourg Olympic.
- 163.0 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 159.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| GEN moneyline | 3.35 | moved down 1.87 |
| FRI moneyline | 1.28 | moved up 1.87 |
| Total points | 159.5 | 159.5 |
| GEN spread | −1.5 | −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
SB League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Geneva Lions |
7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 660 | 414 | +246 |
| 2 | Fribourg Olympic |
7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 601 | 459 | +142 |
| 3 |  SAM Massagno |
7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 642 | 549 | +93 |
| 4 |  Lausanne Basket |
7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 594 | 536 | +58 |
| 5 |  Sdent BBC Nyon |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 594 | 544 | +50 |
| 6 |  Neuchatel |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 477 | 537 | −60 |
| 7 |  BBC Monthey |
7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 557 | 615 | −58 |
| 8 |  Lugano Tigers |
7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 524 | 619 | −95 |
| 9 |  Regio Basel |
7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 472 | 620 | −148 |
| 10 |  Zurich |
7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 412 | 640 | −228 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Geneva Lions host Fribourg Olympic in the SB League on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.