Geneva Lions vs Denizli Basket prediction
Geneva Lions
24
15
17
20
Denizli Basket
19
23
15
23
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Geneva Lions7689Denizli Basket8077Geneva Lions7689Denizli Basket8077Total 166 Margin GEN by 12 Win GEN 74% Actual 156 · DEN won
Geneva Lions
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Denizli Basket
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Geneva Lions vs Denizli Basket
Geneva Lions
Denizli Basket
Last 12 and 11 games with full stats · all competitions
Geneva Lions at home, last 6 games · Denizli Basket away, last 7
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
Geneva Lions
4-1 - Oct 17: Neuchatel 41, Geneva Lions 91. Won. Odds: Neuchatel 4.45, Geneva Lions 1.07.
- Oct 14: Geneva Lions 73, Bakken Bears 78. Lost. Odds: Geneva Lions 1.51, Bakken Bears 2.45.
- Oct 10: Lausanne Basket 65, Geneva Lions 94. Won. Odds: Lausanne Basket 2.47, Geneva Lions 1.32.
- Oct 7: Absheron Lions 83, Geneva Lions 105. Won. Odds: Absheron Lions 1.80, Geneva Lions 1.87.
- Oct 3: Geneva Lions 71, Fribourg Olympic 64. Won. Odds: Geneva Lions 1.87, Fribourg Olympic 1.87.
Denizli Basket
2-3 - Oct 18: Denizli Basket 70, Trabzonspor 75. Lost. Odds: Denizli Basket 1.93, Trabzonspor 1.55.
- Oct 14: Benfica 96, Denizli Basket 91. Lost. Odds: Benfica 2.18, Denizli Basket 1.42.
- Oct 11: Anadolu Efes 85, Denizli Basket 76. Lost. Odds: Anadolu Efes 1.11, Denizli Basket 6.03.
- Oct 6: Denizli Basket 83, BC Prievidza 69. Won. Odds: Denizli Basket 1.10, BC Prievidza 6.15.
- Oct 3: Denizli Basket 101, Tofas 87. Won. Odds: Denizli Basket 2.23, Tofas 1.63.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Denizli Basket coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 33.8 — Geneva Lions +28.0 per 100 possessions, Denizli Basket −5.8.
- 4-1 in the last five for Geneva Lions.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| GEN moneyline | 2.85 | 2.85 |
| DEN moneyline | 1.35 | 1.35 |
| Total points | 162.5 | moved up 163.5 |
| GEN spread | +6.5 | +6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
FIBA Europe Cup standings
Regular Season · Group G
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 375 | 348 | +27 |
| 2 |  Bakken Bears |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 333 | 330 | +3 |
| 3 | Geneva Lions |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 347 | 331 | +16 |
| 4 |  Denizli Basket |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 340 | 335 | +5 |
| 5 |  BC Prievidza |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 338 | 348 | −10 |
| 6 |  Landau Lions |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 349 | 390 | −41 |
- Second stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Geneva Lions host Denizli Basket in the FIBA Europe Cup on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.