Geneva Lions vs Benfica prediction
Geneva Lions
28
22
19
24
Benfica
33
22
14
21
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 58%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Geneva Lions9389Benfica9082Geneva Lions9389Benfica9082Total 171 Margin GEN by 7 Win GEN 68% Actual 183 · GEN won
Geneva Lions
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Benfica
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Geneva Lions vs Benfica
Geneva Lions
Benfica
Last 12 and 11 games with full stats · all competitions
Geneva Lions at home, last 6 games · Benfica away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Geneva Lions 0, Benfica 1.
- Average total 165.0 points per meeting
- Over 166.5 0 of 1 against this game’s total
- Last meeting BEN by 9 Sep 15, 2026
Meetings
- Sep 15, 2026 Basketball Champions League Benfica 87–78 Geneva Lions 165 pts
Last five games
Geneva Lions
3-2 - Oct 24: Geneva Lions 92, Lugano Tigers 74. Won. Odds: Geneva Lions 1.01, Lugano Tigers 8.00.
- Oct 21: Geneva Lions 76, Denizli Basket 80. Lost. Odds: Geneva Lions 2.85, Denizli Basket 1.35.
- Oct 17: Neuchatel 41, Geneva Lions 91. Won. Odds: Neuchatel 4.45, Geneva Lions 1.07.
- Oct 14: Geneva Lions 73, Bakken Bears 78. Lost. Odds: Geneva Lions 1.51, Bakken Bears 2.45.
- Oct 10: Lausanne Basket 65, Geneva Lions 94. Won. Odds: Lausanne Basket 2.47, Geneva Lions 1.32.
Benfica
4-1 - Oct 24: CA Queluz 72, Benfica 89. Won. Odds: CA Queluz 6.50, Benfica 1.04.
- Oct 21: Benfica 98, BC Prievidza 83. Won. Odds: Benfica 1.28, BC Prievidza 3.25.
- Oct 17: Benfica 92, Oliveirense 67. Won. Odds: Benfica 1.11, Oliveirense 3.90.
- Oct 14: Benfica 96, Denizli Basket 91. Won. Odds: Benfica 2.18, Denizli Basket 1.42.
- Oct 11: FC Porto 93, Benfica 86. Lost. Odds: FC Porto 1.75, Benfica 1.95.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Benfica coming into this game.
- Over/under moved down from 168.5 to 166.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 17.7 — Geneva Lions +28.0 per 100 possessions, Benfica +10.3.
- 3rd vs 1st in the FIBA Europe Cup standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| GEN moneyline | 2.26 | moved down 2.10 |
| BEN moneyline | 1.59 | moved up 1.62 |
| Total points | 168.5 | moved down 166.5 |
| GEN spread | +3.5 | moved down +2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
FIBA Europe Cup standings
Regular Season · Group G
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 375 | 348 | +27 |
| 2 |  Bakken Bears |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 333 | 330 | +3 |
| 3 | Geneva Lions |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 347 | 331 | +16 |
| 4 |  Denizli Basket |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 340 | 335 | +5 |
| 5 |  BC Prievidza |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 338 | 348 | −10 |
| 6 |  Landau Lions |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 349 | 390 | −41 |
- Second stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Geneva Lions host Benfica in the FIBA Europe Cup on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.