Geneva Lions vs Bakken Bears prediction
Geneva Lions
20
22
12
19
Bakken Bears
27
10
26
15
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Geneva Lions7387Bakken Bears7881Geneva Lions7387Bakken Bears7881Total 168 Margin GEN by 6 Win GEN 62% Actual 151 · BAK won
Geneva Lions
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Bakken Bears
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Geneva Lions vs Bakken Bears
Geneva Lions
Bakken Bears
Last 12 and 13 games with full stats · all competitions
Geneva Lions at home, last 6 games · Bakken Bears away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
Geneva Lions
5-0 - Oct 10: Lausanne Basket 65, Geneva Lions 94. Won. Odds: Lausanne Basket 2.47, Geneva Lions 1.32.
- Oct 7: Absheron Lions 83, Geneva Lions 105. Won. Odds: Absheron Lions 1.80, Geneva Lions 1.87.
- Oct 3: Geneva Lions 71, Fribourg Olympic 64. Won. Odds: Geneva Lions 1.87, Fribourg Olympic 1.87.
- Sep 29: Zurich 46, Geneva Lions 109. Won. Odds: Zurich 18.00, Geneva Lions –.
- Sep 26: Geneva Lions 86, Sdent BBC Nyon 69. Won. Odds: Geneva Lions 1.08, Sdent BBC Nyon 6.25.
Bakken Bears
4-1 - Oct 10: Bakken Bears 103, Randers 86. Won. Odds: Bakken Bears 1.09, Randers 4.15.
- Oct 7: Bakken Bears 81, Benfica 91. Lost. Odds: Bakken Bears 1.97, Benfica 1.78.
- Sep 30: Bakken Bears 112, Gladsaxe 75. Won. Odds: Bakken Bears –, Gladsaxe 15.10.
- Sep 27: Bears Academy 84, Bakken Bears 108. Won. Odds: Bears Academy 15.10, Bakken Bears –.
- Sep 24: Bakken Bears 83, Horsens 64. Won. Odds: Bakken Bears 1.09, Horsens 5.60.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-game winning streak for Geneva Lions coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 8.7 — Geneva Lions +28.0 per 100 possessions, Bakken Bears +19.3.
- 4-1 in the last five for Bakken Bears.
- 3rd vs 2nd in the FIBA Europe Cup standings.
- Different pace — Geneva Lions averaged 77.2 possessions per game, Bakken Bears 82.2.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| GEN moneyline | 1.62 | moved down 1.51 |
| BAK moneyline | 2.22 | moved up 2.45 |
| Total points | 170.5 | 170.5 |
| GEN spread | −2.5 | −2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
FIBA Europe Cup standings
Regular Season · Group G
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 375 | 348 | +27 |
| 2 | Bakken Bears |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 333 | 330 | +3 |
| 3 | Geneva Lions |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 347 | 331 | +16 |
| 4 |  Denizli Basket |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 340 | 335 | +5 |
| 5 |  BC Prievidza |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 338 | 348 | −10 |
| 6 |  Landau Lions |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 349 | 390 | −41 |
- Second stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Geneva Lions host Bakken Bears in the FIBA Europe Cup on Wednesday, October 14, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.