Geelong Venom vs Southside prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 60%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 160 Margin SOU by 4 Win SOU 58% Actual 143 · GEE won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Geelong Venom vs Southside
Last 24 and 27 games with full stats · all competitions
Geelong Venom at home, last 12 games · Southside away, last 14
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Geelong Venom 1, Southside 2.
- Average total 136.7 points per meeting
- Over 161.5 0 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SOU by 42 Jan 3, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 3, 2026 NBL Women Southside 94–52 Geelong Venom 146 pts
- Dec 16, 2025 NBL Women Southside 86–58 Geelong Venom 144 pts
- Nov 14, 2025 NBL Women Geelong Venom 66–54 Southside 120 pts
Last five games
- Oct 15: Tasmania Jewels 103, Geelong Venom 90. Lost. Odds: Tasmania Jewels 1.86, Geelong Venom 1.81.
- Feb 6: Canberra Capitals 76, Geelong Venom 67. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jan 31: Sydney 76, Geelong Venom 89. Won. No odds on record.
- Jan 30: Geelong Venom 80, Bendigo 73. Won. No odds on record.
- Jan 23: Geelong Venom 78, Adelaide Lightning 85. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 22: Southside 91, Tasmania Jewels 75. Won. Odds: Southside 2.12, Tasmania Jewels 1.57.
- Oct 16: Southside 73, Sydney 77. Lost. Odds: Southside 2.38, Sydney 1.45.
- Feb 22: Townsville 84, Southside 74. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 18: Southside 109, Townsville 89. Won. No odds on record.
- Feb 15: Townsville 88, Southside 60. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Geelong Venom dropped from 1.62 to 1.42 since they were first published.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Southside.
- 136.7 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 161.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| GEE moneyline | 1.62 | moved down 1.42 |
| SOU moneyline | 2.18 | moved up 2.45 |
| Total points | 162.5 | moved down 161.5 |
| GEE spread | −8.5 | moved up −4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBL Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | 176 | 165 | +11 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 429 | 381 | +48 | |
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 273 | 266 | +7 | |
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 241 | 242 | −1 | |
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 337 | 312 | +25 | |
| 6 | Geelong Venom | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 309 | 319 | −10 |
| 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 299 | 345 | −46 | |
| 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 307 | 309 | −2 | |
| 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 230 | 262 | −32 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Geelong Venom host Southside in the NBL Women on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.